Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Brest is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.66%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 11.97%, while a draw has a probability of 23.37%. The most likely scoreline for a Brest win is 1-0, with a probability of 17.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 15.02% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The most probable Lorient win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.99%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 10.74%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Brest | Lorient | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.67 | 0.56 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 64.66% | 23.37% | 11.97% |
Imp Odds | 1.55 | 4.28 | 8.35 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 10.74% | 9.31 |
1.5 | 34.70% | 2.88 |
2.5 | 61.44% | 1.63 |
3.5 | 81.32% | 1.23 |
4.5 | 92.41% | 1.08 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 89.26% | 1.12 |
1.5 | 65.30% | 1.53 |
2.5 | 38.56% | 2.59 |
3.5 | 18.68% | 5.35 |
4.5 | 7.59% | 13.17 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 9.31 | 10.74% |
0-1 | 16.68 | 5.99% |
0-2 | 59.79 | 1.67% |
0-3 | 321.40 | 0.31% |
1-0 | 5.56 | 17.97% |
1-1 | 9.97 | 10.03% |
1-2 | 35.74 | 2.80% |
1-3 | 192.10 | 0.52% |
2-0 | 6.65 | 15.03% |
2-1 | 11.92 | 8.39% |
2-2 | 42.72 | 2.34% |
2-3 | 229.64 | 0.44% |
3-0 | 11.93 | 8.38% |
3-1 | 21.37 | 4.68% |
3-2 | 76.60 | 1.31% |
3-3 | 411.76 | 0.24% |
Any Other Home Win | 11.24 | 8.90% |
Any Other Away Win | 527.38 | 0.19% |
Any Other Draw | 6,795.39 | 0.01% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Brest | Lorient | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.16 | 0.96 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 64.74% | 19.60% | 15.62% |
Imp Odds | 1.54 | 5.10 | 6.40 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.46% | 22.44 |
1.5 | 18.32% | 5.46 |
2.5 | 39.88% | 2.51 |
3.5 | 62.24% | 1.61 |
4.5 | 79.63% | 1.26 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.54% | 1.05 |
1.5 | 81.68% | 1.22 |
2.5 | 60.12% | 1.66 |
3.5 | 37.76% | 2.65 |
4.5 | 20.37% | 4.91 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 4.46% | 22.44 |
0-1 | 4.26% | 23.48 |
0-2 | 2.04% | 49.12 |
0-3 | 0.65% | 154.15 |
1-0 | 9.60% | 10.41 |
1-1 | 9.18% | 10.89 |
1-2 | 4.39% | 22.79 |
1-3 | 1.40% | 71.53 |
2-0 | 10.35% | 9.67 |
2-1 | 9.89% | 10.11 |
2-2 | 4.73% | 21.15 |
2-3 | 1.51% | 66.38 |
3-0 | 7.43% | 13.45 |
3-1 | 7.11% | 14.07 |
3-2 | 3.40% | 29.45 |
3-3 | 1.08% | 92.41 |
Any Other Home Win | 16.96% | 5.90 |
Any Other Away Win | 1.20% | 83.19 |
Any Other Draw | 0.15% | 660.02 |