Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Liverpool is likely to win this match with a probability of 40%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 34.04%, while a draw has a probability of 25.91%. The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win is 1-0, with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 8.62% and 2-0 with a probability of 6.77%. The most probable Arsenal win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.79%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.31%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Liverpool | Arsenal | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.40 | 1.27 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 40.00% | 25.91% | 34.04% |
Imp Odds | 2.50 | 3.86 | 2.94 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 6.91% | 14.47 |
1.5 | 25.37% | 3.94 |
2.5 | 50.05% | 2.00 |
3.5 | 72.02% | 1.39 |
4.5 | 86.70% | 1.15 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 93.09% | 1.07 |
1.5 | 74.63% | 1.34 |
2.5 | 49.95% | 2.00 |
3.5 | 27.98% | 3.57 |
4.5 | 13.30% | 7.52 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 14.47 | 6.91% |
0-1 | 11.38 | 8.79% |
0-2 | 17.89 | 5.59% |
0-3 | 42.18 | 2.37% |
1-0 | 10.34 | 9.67% |
1-1 | 8.13 | 12.31% |
1-2 | 12.77 | 7.83% |
1-3 | 30.13 | 3.32% |
2-0 | 14.77 | 6.77% |
2-1 | 11.61 | 8.62% |
2-2 | 18.25 | 5.48% |
2-3 | 43.03 | 2.32% |
3-0 | 31.64 | 3.16% |
3-1 | 24.87 | 4.02% |
3-2 | 39.10 | 2.56% |
3-3 | 92.21 | 1.08% |
Any Other Home Win | 19.23 | 5.20% |
Any Other Away Win | 34.91 | 2.86% |
Any Other Draw | 770.61 | 0.13% |