Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Manchester City is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.16%. A win for Brentford has a probability of 15.02%, while a draw has a probability of 20.8%. The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 11.83% and 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The most probable Brentford win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.99%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.9%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Manchester City | Brentford | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.98 | 0.84 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 64.16% | 20.80% | 15.02% |
Imp Odds | 1.56 | 4.81 | 6.66 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 5.97% | 16.76 |
1.5 | 22.79% | 4.39 |
2.5 | 46.50% | 2.15 |
3.5 | 68.78% | 1.45 |
4.5 | 84.47% | 1.18 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 94.03% | 1.06 |
1.5 | 77.21% | 1.30 |
2.5 | 53.50% | 1.87 |
3.5 | 31.22% | 3.20 |
4.5 | 15.53% | 6.44 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 5.97% | 16.76 |
0-1 | 4.99% | 20.03 |
0-2 | 2.09% | 47.91 |
0-3 | 0.58% | 171.85 |
1-0 | 11.83% | 8.45 |
1-1 | 9.90% | 10.11 |
1-2 | 4.14% | 24.17 |
1-3 | 1.15% | 86.69 |
2-0 | 11.73% | 8.53 |
2-1 | 9.81% | 10.20 |
2-2 | 4.10% | 24.38 |
2-3 | 1.14% | 87.46 |
3-0 | 7.75% | 12.90 |
3-1 | 6.48% | 15.43 |
3-2 | 2.71% | 36.90 |
3-3 | 0.76% | 132.36 |
Any Other Home Win | 13.85% | 7.22 |
Any Other Away Win | 0.78% | 128.56 |
Any Other Draw | 0.08% | 1,194.31 |