Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Inter is likely to win this match with a probability of 60.67%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 13.18%, while a draw has a probability of 25.94%. The most likely scoreline for a Inter win is 0-1, with a probability of 19.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 14.65% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.86%. The most probable Genoa win is 1-0 with a probability of 7.04%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 13.11%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Genoa | Inter | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.54 | 1.50 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 13.18% | 25.94% | 60.67% |
| Imp Odds | 7.59 | 3.86 | 1.65 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.11% | 7.63 |
| 1.5 | 39.75% | 2.52 |
| 2.5 | 66.81% | 1.50 |
| 3.5 | 85.13% | 1.17 |
| 4.5 | 94.44% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.89% | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | 60.25% | 1.66 |
| 2.5 | 33.19% | 3.01 |
| 3.5 | 14.87% | 6.73 |
| 4.5 | 5.56% | 18.00 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.63 | 13.11% |
| 0-1 | 5.10 | 19.60% |
| 0-2 | 6.83 | 14.65% |
| 0-3 | 13.70 | 7.30% |
| 1-0 | 14.21 | 7.04% |
| 1-1 | 9.50 | 10.52% |
| 1-2 | 12.72 | 7.86% |
| 1-3 | 25.52 | 3.92% |
| 2-0 | 52.94 | 1.89% |
| 2-1 | 35.41 | 2.82% |
| 2-2 | 47.37 | 2.11% |
| 2-3 | 95.06 | 1.05% |
| 3-0 | 295.86 | 0.34% |
| 3-1 | 197.90 | 0.51% |
| 3-2 | 264.75 | 0.38% |
| 3-3 | 531.27 | 0.19% |
| Any Other Home Win | 470.51 | 0.21% |
| Any Other Away Win | 37.19 | 2.69% |
| Any Other Draw | 10,255.25 | 0.01% |