Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Napoli is likely to win this match with a probability of 64.67%. A win for Monza has a probability of 17.22%, while a draw has a probability of 18%. The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 22.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.3% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.64%. The most probable Monza win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.59%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.54%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Napoli | Monza | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.47 | 1.22 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 64.67% | 18.00% | 17.22% |
| Imp Odds | 1.55 | 5.56 | 5.81 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.51% | 39.88 |
| 1.5 | 11.75% | 8.51 |
| 2.5 | 28.78% | 3.47 |
| 3.5 | 49.71% | 2.01 |
| 4.5 | 68.99% | 1.45 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.49% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 88.25% | 1.13 |
| 2.5 | 71.22% | 1.40 |
| 3.5 | 50.29% | 1.99 |
| 4.5 | 31.01% | 3.23 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 39.88 | 2.51% |
| 0-1 | 32.76 | 3.05% |
| 0-2 | 53.81 | 1.86% |
| 0-3 | 132.58 | 0.75% |
| 1-0 | 16.16 | 6.19% |
| 1-1 | 13.27 | 7.54% |
| 1-2 | 21.80 | 4.59% |
| 1-3 | 53.71 | 1.86% |
| 2-0 | 13.09 | 7.64% |
| 2-1 | 10.75 | 9.30% |
| 2-2 | 17.66 | 5.66% |
| 2-3 | 43.52 | 2.30% |
| 3-0 | 15.91 | 6.28% |
| 3-1 | 13.07 | 7.65% |
| 3-2 | 21.47 | 4.66% |
| 3-3 | 52.89 | 1.89% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.36 | 22.94% |
| Any Other Away Win | 39.71 | 2.52% |
| Any Other Draw | 248.97 | 0.40% |