Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lazio is likely to win this match with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Frosinone has a probability of 19.17%, while a draw has a probability of 23.99%. The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win is 1-0, with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.04% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The most probable Frosinone win is 0-1 with a probability of 6.71%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 11.35%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lazio | Frosinone | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.69 | 0.87 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 56.82% | 23.99% | 19.17% |
| Imp Odds | 1.76 | 4.17 | 5.22 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.70% | 12.98 |
| 1.5 | 27.45% | 3.64 |
| 2.5 | 52.76% | 1.90 |
| 3.5 | 74.39% | 1.34 |
| 4.5 | 88.25% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.30% | 1.08 |
| 1.5 | 72.55% | 1.38 |
| 2.5 | 47.24% | 2.12 |
| 3.5 | 25.61% | 3.90 |
| 4.5 | 11.75% | 8.51 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.98 | 7.70% |
| 0-1 | 14.91 | 6.71% |
| 0-2 | 34.24 | 2.92% |
| 0-3 | 117.98 | 0.85% |
| 1-0 | 7.67 | 13.04% |
| 1-1 | 8.81 | 11.35% |
| 1-2 | 20.23 | 4.94% |
| 1-3 | 69.70 | 1.43% |
| 2-0 | 9.06 | 11.04% |
| 2-1 | 10.41 | 9.61% |
| 2-2 | 23.90 | 4.18% |
| 2-3 | 82.34 | 1.21% |
| 3-0 | 16.06 | 6.23% |
| 3-1 | 18.44 | 5.42% |
| 3-2 | 42.36 | 2.36% |
| 3-3 | 145.93 | 0.69% |
| Any Other Home Win | 10.96 | 9.12% |
| Any Other Away Win | 112.79 | 0.89% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,492.32 | 0.07% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lazio | Frosinone | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.39 | 0.59 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 56.65% | 27.63% | 15.71% |
| Imp Odds | 1.77 | 3.62 | 6.37 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.79% | 7.25 |
| 1.5 | 41.11% | 2.43 |
| 2.5 | 68.17% | 1.47 |
| 3.5 | 86.05% | 1.16 |
| 4.5 | 94.90% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.21% | 1.16 |
| 1.5 | 58.89% | 1.70 |
| 2.5 | 31.83% | 3.14 |
| 3.5 | 13.95% | 7.17 |
| 4.5 | 5.10% | 19.61 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 13.79% | 7.25 |
| 0-1 | 8.12% | 12.32 |
| 0-2 | 2.39% | 41.84 |
| 0-3 | 0.47% | 213.21 |
| 1-0 | 19.20% | 5.21 |
| 1-1 | 11.31% | 8.85 |
| 1-2 | 3.33% | 30.05 |
| 1-3 | 0.65% | 153.10 |
| 2-0 | 13.37% | 7.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.87% | 12.70 |
| 2-2 | 2.32% | 43.15 |
| 2-3 | 0.45% | 219.86 |
| 3-0 | 6.21% | 16.11 |
| 3-1 | 3.65% | 27.36 |
| 3-2 | 1.08% | 92.95 |
| 3-3 | 0.21% | 473.62 |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.28% | 18.95 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.22% | 452.62 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.01% | 8,941.67 |