Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atalanta is likely to win this match with a probability of 67.56%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 12.94%, while a draw has a probability of 19.47%. The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 15.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 12.32% and 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The most probable Lecce win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.47%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.26%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Atalanta | Lecce | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.09 | 0.79 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 67.56% | 19.47% | 12.94% |
| Imp Odds | 1.48 | 5.14 | 7.73 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 5.65% | 17.71 |
| 1.5 | 21.88% | 4.57 |
| 2.5 | 45.20% | 2.21 |
| 3.5 | 67.54% | 1.48 |
| 4.5 | 83.60% | 1.20 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 94.35% | 1.06 |
| 1.5 | 78.12% | 1.28 |
| 2.5 | 54.80% | 1.82 |
| 3.5 | 32.46% | 3.08 |
| 4.5 | 16.40% | 6.10 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 5.65% | 17.71 |
| 0-1 | 4.43% | 22.56 |
| 0-2 | 1.74% | 57.47 |
| 0-3 | 0.46% | 219.60 |
| 1-0 | 11.80% | 8.48 |
| 1-1 | 9.26% | 10.80 |
| 1-2 | 3.64% | 27.51 |
| 1-3 | 0.95% | 105.12 |
| 2-0 | 12.32% | 8.12 |
| 2-1 | 9.67% | 10.34 |
| 2-2 | 3.80% | 26.34 |
| 2-3 | 0.99% | 100.65 |
| 3-0 | 8.58% | 11.66 |
| 3-1 | 6.74% | 14.85 |
| 3-2 | 2.64% | 37.82 |
| 3-3 | 0.69% | 144.54 |
| Any Other Home Win | 15.81% | 6.33 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.62% | 160.22 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.08% | 1,319.56 |