Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Lecce will likely win this match with a probability of 46.81%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 29.49%, while a draw has a probability of 23.66%. The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win is 2-1, with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 9.19% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.29%. The most probable Cagliari win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.17%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.9%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lecce | Cagliari | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.71 | 1.32 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 46.81% | 23.66% | 29.49% |
| Imp Odds | 2.14 | 4.23 | 3.39 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.84% | 20.67 |
| 1.5 | 19.49% | 5.13 |
| 2.5 | 41.68% | 2.40 |
| 3.5 | 64.08% | 1.56 |
| 4.5 | 81.04% | 1.23 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.16% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 80.51% | 1.24 |
| 2.5 | 58.32% | 1.71 |
| 3.5 | 35.92% | 2.78 |
| 4.5 | 18.96% | 5.27 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 20.67 | 4.84% |
| 0-1 | 15.71 | 6.37% |
| 0-2 | 23.88 | 4.19% |
| 0-3 | 54.45 | 1.84% |
| 1-0 | 12.07 | 8.29% |
| 1-1 | 9.17 | 10.90% |
| 1-2 | 13.94 | 7.17% |
| 1-3 | 31.78 | 3.15% |
| 2-0 | 14.09 | 7.10% |
| 2-1 | 10.71 | 9.34% |
| 2-2 | 16.28 | 6.14% |
| 2-3 | 37.11 | 2.69% |
| 3-0 | 24.68 | 4.05% |
| 3-1 | 18.75 | 5.33% |
| 3-2 | 28.51 | 3.51% |
| 3-3 | 64.99 | 1.54% |
| Any Other Home Win | 10.88 | 9.19% |
| Any Other Away Win | 30.17 | 3.31% |
| Any Other Draw | 420.90 | 0.24% |