Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Milan will likely win this match with a probability of **67.42%**. A win for Empoli has a probability of **14%**, while a draw has a probability of **17.67%**. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is “**Any Other Away Win**“, with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.67% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The most probable Empoli win is 2-1 with a probability of 4%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.04%.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

By XG

By XG

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Empoli | AC Milan | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.00 | 2.39 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 14.00% | 17.67% | 67.42% |

Imp Odds | 7.14 | 5.66 | 1.48 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 3.37% | 29.65 |

1.5 | 14.80% | 6.76 |

2.5 | 34.18% | 2.93 |

3.5 | 56.06% | 1.78 |

4.5 | 74.61% | 1.34 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 96.63% | 1.03 |

1.5 | 85.20% | 1.17 |

2.5 | 65.82% | 1.52 |

3.5 | 43.94% | 2.28 |

4.5 | 25.39% | 3.94 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 29.65 | 3.37% |

0-1 | 12.38 | 8.07% |

0-2 | 10.34 | 9.67% |

0-3 | 12.96 | 7.72% |

1-0 | 29.80 | 3.36% |

1-1 | 12.44 | 8.04% |

1-2 | 10.39 | 9.62% |

1-3 | 13.02 | 7.68% |

2-0 | 59.88 | 1.67% |

2-1 | 25.01 | 4.00% |

2-2 | 20.89 | 4.79% |

2-3 | 26.17 | 3.82% |

3-0 | 180.52 | 0.55% |

3-1 | 75.39 | 1.33% |

3-2 | 62.97 | 1.59% |

3-3 | 78.90 | 1.27% |

Any Other Home Win | 66.39 | 1.51% |

Any Other Away Win | 7.37 | 13.56% |

Any Other Draw | 480.78 | 0.21% |