Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Milan will likely win this match with a probability of 67.42%. A win for Empoli has a probability of 14%, while a draw has a probability of 17.67%. The most likely scoreline for a Milan win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 9.67% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The most probable Empoli win is 2-1 with a probability of 4%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.04%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Empoli | AC Milan | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.00 | 2.39 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 14.00% | 17.67% | 67.42% |
| Imp Odds | 7.14 | 5.66 | 1.48 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.37% | 29.65 |
| 1.5 | 14.80% | 6.76 |
| 2.5 | 34.18% | 2.93 |
| 3.5 | 56.06% | 1.78 |
| 4.5 | 74.61% | 1.34 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.63% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.20% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 65.82% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 43.94% | 2.28 |
| 4.5 | 25.39% | 3.94 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 29.65 | 3.37% |
| 0-1 | 12.38 | 8.07% |
| 0-2 | 10.34 | 9.67% |
| 0-3 | 12.96 | 7.72% |
| 1-0 | 29.80 | 3.36% |
| 1-1 | 12.44 | 8.04% |
| 1-2 | 10.39 | 9.62% |
| 1-3 | 13.02 | 7.68% |
| 2-0 | 59.88 | 1.67% |
| 2-1 | 25.01 | 4.00% |
| 2-2 | 20.89 | 4.79% |
| 2-3 | 26.17 | 3.82% |
| 3-0 | 180.52 | 0.55% |
| 3-1 | 75.39 | 1.33% |
| 3-2 | 62.97 | 1.59% |
| 3-3 | 78.90 | 1.27% |
| Any Other Home Win | 66.39 | 1.51% |
| Any Other Away Win | 7.37 | 13.56% |
| Any Other Draw | 480.78 | 0.21% |