Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Juventus will likely win this match with a probability of 78.5%. A win for Salernitana has a probability of 5.86%, while a draw has a probability of 14.11%. The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 0-2, with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 with a probability of 12.92% and 0-3 with a probability of 12.72%. The most probable Salernitana win is 1-0 with a probability of 2.68%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 6.51%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity for Juventus’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 1.53, much higher than the 1.27 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Salernitana | Juventus | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.50 | 2.43 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 5.86% | 14.11% | 78.50% |
Imp Odds | 17.06 | 7.09 | 1.27 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 5.32% | 18.81 |
1.5 | 20.92% | 4.78 |
2.5 | 43.80% | 2.28 |
3.5 | 66.19% | 1.51 |
4.5 | 82.62% | 1.21 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 94.68% | 1.06 |
1.5 | 79.08% | 1.26 |
2.5 | 56.20% | 1.78 |
3.5 | 33.81% | 2.96 |
4.5 | 17.38% | 5.75 |
Correct Score Based On XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 18.81 | 5.32% |
0-1 | 7.74 | 12.92% |
0-2 | 6.37 | 15.70% |
0-3 | 7.86 | 12.72% |
1-0 | 37.33 | 2.68% |
1-1 | 15.36 | 6.51% |
1-2 | 12.64 | 7.91% |
1-3 | 15.60 | 6.41% |
2-0 | 148.15 | 0.68% |
2-1 | 60.95 | 1.64% |
2-2 | 50.16 | 1.99% |
2-3 | 61.91 | 1.62% |
3-0 | 881.92 | 0.11% |
3-1 | 362.85 | 0.28% |
3-2 | 298.58 | 0.33% |
3-3 | 368.54 | 0.27% |
Any Other Home Win | 706.50 | 0.14% |
Any Other Away Win | 11.17 | 8.95% |
Any Other Draw | 4,581.91 | 0.02% |
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Salernitana | Juventus | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.55 | 2.90 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 4.49% | 10.63% | 82.19% |
Imp Odds | 22.29 | 9.40 | 1.22 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.17% | 31.52 |
1.5 | 14.12% | 7.08 |
2.5 | 33.01% | 3.03 |
3.5 | 54.73% | 1.83 |
4.5 | 73.47% | 1.36 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.83% | 1.03 |
1.5 | 85.88% | 1.16 |
2.5 | 66.99% | 1.49 |
3.5 | 45.27% | 2.21 |
4.5 | 26.53% | 3.77 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 3.17% | 31.52 |
0-1 | 9.21% | 10.86 |
0-2 | 13.36% | 7.49 |
0-3 | 12.92% | 7.74 |
1-0 | 1.74% | 57.41 |
1-1 | 5.05% | 19.79 |
1-2 | 7.33% | 13.64 |
1-3 | 7.09% | 14.10 |
2-0 | 0.48% | 209.13 |
2-1 | 1.39% | 72.08 |
2-2 | 2.01% | 49.68 |
2-3 | 1.95% | 51.37 |
3-0 | 0.09% | 1,142.75 |
3-1 | 0.25% | 393.84 |
3-2 | 0.37% | 271.47 |
3-3 | 0.36% | 280.68 |
Any Other Home Win | 0.17% | 593.49 |
Any Other Away Win | 13.80% | 7.25 |
Any Other Draw | 0.04% | 2,643.01 |