Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Roma will likely win this match with a probability of **43.27%**. A win for Atalanta has a probability of **24.34%**, while a draw has a probability of **32.38%**. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0, with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.54% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.83%. The most probable Atalanta win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 16.87%.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

By XG

By XG

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Roma | Atalanta | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.06 | 0.72 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 43.27% | 32.38% | 24.34% |

Imp Odds | 2.31 | 3.09 | 4.11 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 16.87% | 5.93 |

1.5 | 46.89% | 2.13 |

2.5 | 73.60% | 1.36 |

3.5 | 89.45% | 1.12 |

4.5 | 96.50% | 1.04 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 83.13% | 1.20 |

1.5 | 53.11% | 1.88 |

2.5 | 26.40% | 3.79 |

3.5 | 10.55% | 9.48 |

4.5 | 3.50% | 28.61 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 5.93 | 16.87% |

0-1 | 8.27 | 12.09% |

0-2 | 23.10 | 4.33% |

0-3 | 96.73 | 1.03% |

1-0 | 5.58 | 17.94% |

1-1 | 7.78 | 12.85% |

1-2 | 21.72 | 4.60% |

1-3 | 90.97 | 1.10% |

2-0 | 10.49 | 9.54% |

2-1 | 14.64 | 6.83% |

2-2 | 40.86 | 2.45% |

2-3 | 171.11 | 0.58% |

3-0 | 29.59 | 3.38% |

3-1 | 41.30 | 2.42% |

3-2 | 115.29 | 0.87% |

3-3 | 482.78 | 0.21% |

Any Other Home Win | 43.48 | 2.30% |

Any Other Away Win | 253.00 | 0.40% |

Any Other Draw | 9,834.12 | 0.01% |