Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Roma will likely win this match with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Atalanta has a probability of 24.34%, while a draw has a probability of 32.38%. The most likely scoreline for a Roma win is 1-0, with a probability of 17.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.54% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.83%. The most probable Atalanta win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.09%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 16.87%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Roma | Atalanta | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.06 | 0.72 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 43.27% | 32.38% | 24.34% |
| Imp Odds | 2.31 | 3.09 | 4.11 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 16.87% | 5.93 |
| 1.5 | 46.89% | 2.13 |
| 2.5 | 73.60% | 1.36 |
| 3.5 | 89.45% | 1.12 |
| 4.5 | 96.50% | 1.04 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 83.13% | 1.20 |
| 1.5 | 53.11% | 1.88 |
| 2.5 | 26.40% | 3.79 |
| 3.5 | 10.55% | 9.48 |
| 4.5 | 3.50% | 28.61 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 5.93 | 16.87% |
| 0-1 | 8.27 | 12.09% |
| 0-2 | 23.10 | 4.33% |
| 0-3 | 96.73 | 1.03% |
| 1-0 | 5.58 | 17.94% |
| 1-1 | 7.78 | 12.85% |
| 1-2 | 21.72 | 4.60% |
| 1-3 | 90.97 | 1.10% |
| 2-0 | 10.49 | 9.54% |
| 2-1 | 14.64 | 6.83% |
| 2-2 | 40.86 | 2.45% |
| 2-3 | 171.11 | 0.58% |
| 3-0 | 29.59 | 3.38% |
| 3-1 | 41.30 | 2.42% |
| 3-2 | 115.29 | 0.87% |
| 3-3 | 482.78 | 0.21% |
| Any Other Home Win | 43.48 | 2.30% |
| Any Other Away Win | 253.00 | 0.40% |
| Any Other Draw | 9,834.12 | 0.01% |