Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Arsenal is likely to win this match with a probability of 66.72%. A win for Crystal Palace has a probability of 14.29%, while a draw has a probability of 18.94%. The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 17.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 10.75% and 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The most probable Crystal Palace win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.06%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.9%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Arsenal | Crystal Palace | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.21 | 0.91 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 66.72% | 18.94% | 14.29% |
| Imp Odds | 1.50 | 5.28 | 7.00 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.41% | 22.66 |
| 1.5 | 18.19% | 5.50 |
| 2.5 | 39.67% | 2.52 |
| 3.5 | 62.03% | 1.61 |
| 4.5 | 79.46% | 1.26 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.59% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.81% | 1.22 |
| 2.5 | 60.33% | 1.66 |
| 3.5 | 37.97% | 2.63 |
| 4.5 | 20.54% | 4.87 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.66 | 4.41% |
| 0-1 | 24.80 | 4.03% |
| 0-2 | 54.29 | 1.84% |
| 0-3 | 178.28 | 0.56% |
| 1-0 | 10.27 | 9.74% |
| 1-1 | 11.24 | 8.90% |
| 1-2 | 24.60 | 4.06% |
| 1-3 | 80.78 | 1.24% |
| 2-0 | 9.30 | 10.75% |
| 2-1 | 10.18 | 9.82% |
| 2-2 | 22.29 | 4.49% |
| 2-3 | 73.21 | 1.37% |
| 3-0 | 12.65 | 7.91% |
| 3-1 | 13.84 | 7.22% |
| 3-2 | 30.31 | 3.30% |
| 3-3 | 99.52 | 1.00% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.56 | 17.99% |
| Any Other Away Win | 97.08 | 1.03% |
| Any Other Draw | 727.68 | 0.14% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Arsenal | Crystal Palace | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.89 | 0.81 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 63.01% | 21.65% | 15.32% |
| Imp Odds | 1.59 | 4.62 | 6.53 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.74% | 14.84 |
| 1.5 | 24.92% | 4.01 |
| 2.5 | 49.43% | 2.02 |
| 3.5 | 71.47% | 1.40 |
| 4.5 | 86.33% | 1.16 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.26% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 75.08% | 1.33 |
| 2.5 | 50.57% | 1.98 |
| 3.5 | 28.53% | 3.51 |
| 4.5 | 13.67% | 7.32 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 6.74% | 14.84 |
| 0-1 | 5.43% | 18.42 |
| 0-2 | 2.19% | 45.74 |
| 0-3 | 0.59% | 170.33 |
| 1-0 | 12.75% | 7.84 |
| 1-1 | 10.27% | 9.74 |
| 1-2 | 4.14% | 24.18 |
| 1-3 | 1.11% | 90.04 |
| 2-0 | 12.06% | 8.29 |
| 2-1 | 9.71% | 10.30 |
| 2-2 | 3.91% | 25.56 |
| 2-3 | 1.05% | 95.20 |
| 3-0 | 7.60% | 13.15 |
| 3-1 | 6.12% | 16.33 |
| 3-2 | 2.47% | 40.54 |
| 3-3 | 0.66% | 150.97 |
| Any Other Home Win | 12.29% | 8.13 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.69% | 145.70 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.07% | 1,490.32 |