Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Athletic Bilbao is likely to win this match with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 31.22%, while a draw has a probability of 25.39%. The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 1-0, with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.01% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.31%. The most probable Real Sociedad win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.03%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.03%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Athletic Club | Real Sociedad | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.50 | 1.23 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 43.35% | 25.39% | 31.22% |
| Imp Odds | 2.31 | 3.94 | 3.20 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.51% | 15.35 |
| 1.5 | 24.30% | 4.11 |
| 2.5 | 48.60% | 2.06 |
| 3.5 | 70.72% | 1.41 |
| 4.5 | 85.82% | 1.17 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.49% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 75.70% | 1.32 |
| 2.5 | 51.40% | 1.95 |
| 3.5 | 29.28% | 3.41 |
| 4.5 | 14.18% | 7.05 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 6.51% | 15.35 |
| 0-1 | 8.03% | 12.45 |
| 0-2 | 4.95% | 20.19 |
| 0-3 | 2.04% | 49.10 |
| 1-0 | 9.76% | 10.25 |
| 1-1 | 12.03% | 8.31 |
| 1-2 | 7.42% | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 3.05% | 32.78 |
| 2-0 | 7.31% | 13.68 |
| 2-1 | 9.01% | 11.10 |
| 2-2 | 5.56% | 17.99 |
| 2-3 | 2.29% | 43.76 |
| 3-0 | 3.65% | 27.41 |
| 3-1 | 4.50% | 22.22 |
| 3-2 | 2.78% | 36.03 |
| 3-3 | 1.14% | 87.64 |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.35% | 15.75 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.65% | 37.67 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.14% | 704.19 |