Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bologna will likely win this match with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Cagliari has a probability of 31.96%, while a draw has a probability of 27.22%. The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 0-1, with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.47% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.5%. The most probable Cagliari win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.89%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Cagliari | Bologna | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.13 | 1.31 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 31.96% | 27.22% | 40.75% |
| Imp Odds | 3.13 | 3.67 | 2.45 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.68% | 11.52 |
| 1.5 | 29.90% | 3.34 |
| 2.5 | 55.82% | 1.79 |
| 3.5 | 76.95% | 1.30 |
| 4.5 | 89.85% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.32% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 70.10% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 | 44.18% | 2.26 |
| 3.5 | 23.05% | 4.34 |
| 4.5 | 10.15% | 9.85 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 11.52 | 8.68% |
| 0-1 | 8.77 | 11.41% |
| 0-2 | 13.34 | 7.50% |
| 0-3 | 30.46 | 3.28% |
| 1-0 | 10.19 | 9.81% |
| 1-1 | 7.76 | 12.89% |
| 1-2 | 11.81 | 8.47% |
| 1-3 | 26.96 | 3.71% |
| 2-0 | 18.04 | 5.54% |
| 2-1 | 13.73 | 7.28% |
| 2-2 | 20.90 | 4.79% |
| 2-3 | 47.71 | 2.10% |
| 3-0 | 47.91 | 2.09% |
| 3-1 | 36.46 | 2.74% |
| 3-2 | 55.48 | 1.80% |
| 3-3 | 126.67 | 0.79% |
| Any Other Home Win | 37.07 | 2.70% |
| Any Other Away Win | 34.32 | 2.91% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,285.26 | 0.08% |
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Cagliari | Bologna | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.06 | 1.37 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 29.08% | 27.08% | 43.76% |
| Imp Odds | 3.44 | 3.69 | 2.29 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.83% | 11.32 |
| 1.5 | 30.27% | 3.30 |
| 2.5 | 56.28% | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 77.31% | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 90.08% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.17% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.73% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 | 43.72% | 2.29 |
| 3.5 | 22.69% | 4.41 |
| 4.5 | 9.92% | 10.08 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 8.83% | 11.32 |
| 0-1 | 12.07% | 8.28 |
| 0-2 | 8.25% | 12.12 |
| 0-3 | 3.76% | 26.60 |
| 1-0 | 9.36% | 10.68 |
| 1-1 | 12.80% | 7.82 |
| 1-2 | 8.74% | 11.44 |
| 1-3 | 3.98% | 25.10 |
| 2-0 | 4.96% | 20.16 |
| 2-1 | 6.78% | 14.75 |
| 2-2 | 4.63% | 21.58 |
| 2-3 | 2.11% | 47.36 |
| 3-0 | 1.75% | 57.05 |
| 3-1 | 2.40% | 41.74 |
| 3-2 | 1.64% | 61.08 |
| 3-3 | 0.75% | 134.06 |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.19% | 45.63 |
| Any Other Away Win | 3.18% | 31.44 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.07% | 1,396.42 |