Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Napoli will likely win this match with a probability of 78.58%. A win for Salernitana has a probability of 8.29%, while a draw has a probability of 12.79%. The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 33.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.34% and 3-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The most probable Salernitana win is 1-2 with a probability of 2.52%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 5.65%.
This match offers an opportunity to place a bet on Napoli to win and on the total goals being over 2.5.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Napoli | Salernitana | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.95 | 0.89 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 78.58% | 12.79% | 8.29% |
| Imp Odds | 1.27 | 7.82 | 12.07 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.15% | 46.58 |
| 1.5 | 10.39% | 9.62 |
| 2.5 | 26.23% | 3.81 |
| 3.5 | 46.51% | 2.15 |
| 4.5 | 65.98% | 1.52 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.85% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 89.61% | 1.12 |
| 2.5 | 73.77% | 1.36 |
| 3.5 | 53.49% | 1.87 |
| 4.5 | 34.02% | 2.94 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 46.58 | 2.15% |
| 0-1 | 52.25 | 1.91% |
| 0-2 | 117.19 | 0.85% |
| 0-3 | 394.32 | 0.25% |
| 1-0 | 15.79 | 6.33% |
| 1-1 | 17.71 | 5.65% |
| 1-2 | 39.73 | 2.52% |
| 1-3 | 133.68 | 0.75% |
| 2-0 | 10.71 | 9.34% |
| 2-1 | 12.01 | 8.33% |
| 2-2 | 26.94 | 3.71% |
| 2-3 | 90.65 | 1.10% |
| 3-0 | 10.89 | 9.18% |
| 3-1 | 12.22 | 8.19% |
| 3-2 | 27.40 | 3.65% |
| 3-3 | 92.19 | 1.08% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.98 | 33.57% |
| Any Other Away Win | 120.27 | 0.83% |
| Any Other Draw | 503.81 | 0.20% |