Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Athletic Bilbao is likely to win this match with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Valencia has a probability of 29.82%, while a draw has a probability of 28.6%. The most likely scoreline for a Athletic Bilbao win is 0-1, with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 8.16% and 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The most probable Valencia win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13.21%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Valencia | Athletic Club | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.00 | 1.23 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 29.82% | 28.60% | 41.52% |
| Imp Odds | 3.35 | 3.50 | 2.41 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 10.71% | 9.34 |
| 1.5 | 34.63% | 2.89 |
| 2.5 | 61.36% | 1.63 |
| 3.5 | 81.26% | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 92.38% | 1.08 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 89.29% | 1.12 |
| 1.5 | 65.37% | 1.53 |
| 2.5 | 38.64% | 2.59 |
| 3.5 | 18.74% | 5.34 |
| 4.5 | 7.62% | 13.12 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 9.34 | 10.71% |
| 0-1 | 7.56 | 13.22% |
| 0-2 | 12.25 | 8.16% |
| 0-3 | 29.76 | 3.36% |
| 1-0 | 9.35 | 10.70% |
| 1-1 | 7.57 | 13.21% |
| 1-2 | 12.26 | 8.16% |
| 1-3 | 29.78 | 3.36% |
| 2-0 | 18.70 | 5.35% |
| 2-1 | 15.15 | 6.60% |
| 2-2 | 24.53 | 4.08% |
| 2-3 | 59.60 | 1.68% |
| 3-0 | 56.15 | 1.78% |
| 3-1 | 45.47 | 2.20% |
| 3-2 | 73.65 | 1.36% |
| 3-3 | 178.92 | 0.56% |
| Any Other Home Win | 54.49 | 1.84% |
| Any Other Away Win | 43.99 | 2.27% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,207.13 | 0.05% |