Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Barcelona is likely to win this match with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Betis has a probability of 30.11%, while a draw has a probability of 27.68%. The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win is 0-1, with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.47% and 1-2 with a probability of 8.03%. The most probable Betis win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.98%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Betis not to lose, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.8 for Valencia’s win, which is lower than the 2.37 calculated by our model.
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Real Betis | Barcelona | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.05 | 1.30 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 30.11% | 27.68% | 42.15% |
| Imp Odds | 3.32 | 3.61 | 2.37 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.46% | 10.57 |
| 1.5 | 31.77% | 3.15 |
| 2.5 | 58.07% | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 78.74% | 1.27 |
| 4.5 | 90.93% | 1.10 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.54% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 68.23% | 1.47 |
| 2.5 | 41.93% | 2.38 |
| 3.5 | 21.26% | 4.70 |
| 4.5 | 9.07% | 11.03 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 10.57 | 9.46% |
| 0-1 | 8.11 | 12.33% |
| 0-2 | 12.45 | 8.03% |
| 0-3 | 28.65 | 3.49% |
| 1-0 | 10.02 | 9.98% |
| 1-1 | 7.69 | 13.00% |
| 1-2 | 11.80 | 8.47% |
| 1-3 | 27.16 | 3.68% |
| 2-0 | 19.00 | 5.26% |
| 2-1 | 14.58 | 6.86% |
| 2-2 | 22.37 | 4.47% |
| 2-3 | 51.50 | 1.94% |
| 3-0 | 54.04 | 1.85% |
| 3-1 | 41.46 | 2.41% |
| 3-2 | 63.63 | 1.57% |
| 3-3 | 146.47 | 0.68% |
| Any Other Home Win | 46.05 | 2.17% |
| Any Other Away Win | 36.34 | 2.75% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,612.52 | 0.06% |