Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Girona is likely to win this match with a probability of 6075%. A win for Sevilla has a probability of 19.57%, while a draw has a probability of 19.61%. The most likely scoreline for a Girona win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 18.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.62% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.93%. The most probable Sevilla win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.18%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.54%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By XG
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Girona | Sevilla | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.25 | 1.21 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 60.75% | 19.61% | 19.57% |
| Imp Odds | 1.65 | 5.10 | 5.11 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.13% | 31.96 |
| 1.5 | 13.97% | 7.16 |
| 2.5 | 32.75% | 3.05 |
| 3.5 | 54.43% | 1.84 |
| 4.5 | 73.21% | 1.37 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.87% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 86.03% | 1.16 |
| 2.5 | 67.25% | 1.49 |
| 3.5 | 45.57% | 2.19 |
| 4.5 | 26.79% | 3.73 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.13% | 31.96 |
| 0-1 | 3.79% | 26.35 |
| 0-2 | 2.30% | 43.46 |
| 0-3 | 0.93% | 107.52 |
| 1-0 | 7.05% | 14.19 |
| 1-1 | 8.54% | 11.70 |
| 1-2 | 5.18% | 19.30 |
| 1-3 | 2.09% | 47.75 |
| 2-0 | 7.93% | 12.61 |
| 2-1 | 9.62% | 10.40 |
| 2-2 | 5.83% | 17.14 |
| 2-3 | 2.36% | 42.41 |
| 3-0 | 5.95% | 16.80 |
| 3-1 | 7.22% | 13.85 |
| 3-2 | 4.38% | 22.84 |
| 3-3 | 1.77% | 56.51 |
| Any Other Home Win | 18.60% | 5.38 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.55% | 39.15 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.34% | 296.15 |
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Girona | Sevilla | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.93 | 0.86 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 62.41% | 21.44% | 16.13% |
| Imp Odds | 1.60 | 4.66 | 6.20 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.12% | 16.33 |
| 1.5 | 23.23% | 4.31 |
| 2.5 | 47.11% | 2.12 |
| 3.5 | 69.35% | 1.44 |
| 4.5 | 84.88% | 1.18 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.88% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 76.77% | 1.30 |
| 2.5 | 52.89% | 1.89 |
| 3.5 | 30.65% | 3.26 |
| 4.5 | 15.12% | 6.61 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 16.33 | 6.12% |
| 0-1 | 18.93 | 5.28% |
| 0-2 | 43.89 | 2.28% |
| 0-3 | 152.66 | 0.66% |
| 1-0 | 8.46 | 11.82% |
| 1-1 | 9.81 | 10.20% |
| 1-2 | 22.74 | 4.40% |
| 1-3 | 79.08 | 1.26% |
| 2-0 | 8.76 | 11.41% |
| 2-1 | 10.16 | 9.84% |
| 2-2 | 23.56 | 4.24% |
| 2-3 | 81.93 | 1.22% |
| 3-0 | 13.62 | 7.34% |
| 3-1 | 15.79 | 6.33% |
| 3-2 | 36.61 | 2.73% |
| 3-3 | 127.33 | 0.79% |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.73 | 12.93% |
| Any Other Away Win | 115.72 | 0.86% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,143.63 | 0.09% |