Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atalanta will likely win this match with a probability of 69.79%. A win for Udinese has a probability of 12.44%, while a draw has a probability of 17.7%. The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 20.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.1% and 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%. The most probable Udinese win is 0-1 with a probability of 3.59%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.32%.
This match offers an opportunity for betting on total goals over 2.5, given that the average projected goals calculated by our model stand at 3.19.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Atalanta | Udinese | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.32 | 0.87 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 69.79% | 17.70% | 12.44% |
Imp Odds | 1.43 | 5.65 | 8.04 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 4.13% | 24.21 |
1.5 | 17.29% | 5.78 |
2.5 | 38.27% | 2.61 |
3.5 | 60.55% | 1.65 |
4.5 | 78.30% | 1.28 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 95.87% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 82.71% | 1.21 |
2.5 | 61.73% | 1.62 |
3.5 | 39.45% | 2.53 |
4.5 | 21.70% | 4.61 |
Correct Score Based On XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 24.21 | 4.13% |
0-1 | 27.87 | 3.59% |
0-2 | 64.17 | 1.56% |
0-3 | 221.64 | 0.45% |
1-0 | 10.44 | 9.58% |
1-1 | 12.02 | 8.32% |
1-2 | 27.68 | 3.61% |
1-3 | 95.61 | 1.05% |
2-0 | 9.01 | 11.10% |
2-1 | 10.37 | 9.64% |
2-2 | 23.88 | 4.19% |
2-3 | 82.49 | 1.21% |
3-0 | 11.66 | 8.58% |
3-1 | 13.42 | 7.45% |
3-2 | 30.91 | 3.24% |
3-3 | 106.76 | 0.94% |
Any Other Home Win | 4.95 | 20.21% |
Any Other Away Win | 116.33 | 0.86% |
Any Other Draw | 781.74 | 0.13% |