Wolfsburg vs Borussia Dortmund

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Borussia Dortmund is likely to win this match with a probability of 55.72%. A win for Wolfsburg has a probability of 24.33%, while a draw has a probability of 19.4%. The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 15.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.68% and 1-3 with a probability of 6.86%. The most probable Wolfsburg win is 2-1 with a probability of 5.62%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.32%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Borussia Dortmund to win. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.15, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.66 (based on goal statistics) and 1.79 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Borussia Dortmund a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.