Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Tottenham is likely to win this match with a probability of 78.77%. A win for Luton has a probability of 9.03%, while a draw has a probability of 10.99%. The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 46.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 with a probability of 7.53% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.24%. The most probable Luton win is “Any Other Away Win” with a probability of 2.23%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 4%.
This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on both teams to score for 1.6. The projected home team goals (Tottenham) are 2.84 based on goal statistics, and 3.62 based on expected goals, or XG. The projected away goals (Luton) are 1.23 based on goal statistics, and 1.28 based on expected goals or XG.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Tottenham | Luton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 3.62 | 1.28 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 78.77% | 10.99% | 9.03% |
| Imp Odds | 1.27 | 9.10 | 11.07 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 0.74% | 134.68 |
| 1.5 | 4.38% | 22.82 |
| 2.5 | 13.31% | 7.51 |
| 3.5 | 27.89% | 3.59 |
| 4.5 | 45.77% | 2.18 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 99.26% | 1.01 |
| 1.5 | 95.62% | 1.05 |
| 2.5 | 86.69% | 1.15 |
| 3.5 | 72.11% | 1.39 |
| 4.5 | 54.23% | 1.84 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 134.68 | 0.74% |
| 0-1 | 104.96 | 0.95% |
| 0-2 | 163.62 | 0.61% |
| 0-3 | 382.56 | 0.26% |
| 1-0 | 37.21 | 2.69% |
| 1-1 | 29.00 | 3.45% |
| 1-2 | 45.20 | 2.21% |
| 1-3 | 105.68 | 0.95% |
| 2-0 | 20.56 | 4.86% |
| 2-1 | 16.02 | 6.24% |
| 2-2 | 24.97 | 4.00% |
| 2-3 | 58.39 | 1.71% |
| 3-0 | 17.04 | 5.87% |
| 3-1 | 13.28 | 7.53% |
| 3-2 | 20.70 | 4.83% |
| 3-3 | 48.39 | 2.07% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.14 | 46.74% |
| Any Other Away Win | 44.81 | 2.23% |
| Any Other Draw | 137.53 | 0.73% |
Full-time Result Based On Goals
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Tottenham | Luton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.84 | 1.23 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 70.42% | 15.43% | 13.88% |
| Imp Odds | 1.42 | 6.48 | 7.21 |
Goals Over/Under Based On Goals
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.71% | 58.39 |
| 1.5 | 8.68% | 11.52 |
| 2.5 | 22.84% | 4.38 |
| 3.5 | 42.04% | 2.38 |
| 4.5 | 61.57% | 1.62 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.29% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 91.32% | 1.10 |
| 2.5 | 77.16% | 1.30 |
| 3.5 | 57.96% | 1.73 |
| 4.5 | 38.43% | 2.60 |
Correct Score Based On Goals
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 1.71% | 58.39 |
| 0-1 | 2.11% | 47.49 |
| 0-2 | 1.29% | 77.25 |
| 0-3 | 0.53% | 188.49 |
| 1-0 | 4.86% | 20.58 |
| 1-1 | 5.97% | 16.74 |
| 1-2 | 3.67% | 27.22 |
| 1-3 | 1.51% | 66.42 |
| 2-0 | 6.89% | 14.50 |
| 2-1 | 8.48% | 11.80 |
| 2-2 | 5.21% | 19.19 |
| 2-3 | 2.14% | 46.82 |
| 3-0 | 6.52% | 15.33 |
| 3-1 | 8.02% | 12.47 |
| 3-2 | 4.93% | 20.29 |
| 3-3 | 2.02% | 49.49 |
| Any Other Home Win | 30.72% | 3.26 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.43% | 41.23 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.51% | 196.66 |
Explore more Premier League predictions