Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fulham is likely to win this match with a probability of 65.47%. A win for West Ham has a probability of 10.31%, while a draw has a probability of 24.22%. The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is 1-0, with a probability of 20.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 16.32% and 3-0 with a probability of 8.62%. The most probable West Ham win is 0-1 with a probability of 5.92%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 13%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Fulham to win the match, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.5 for Fulham win, which is higher than the 1.53 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Fulham | West Ham | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.58 | 0.46 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 65.47% | 24.22% | 10.31% |
Imp Odds | 1.53 | 4.13 | 9.70 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 13.00% | 7.69 |
1.5 | 39.52% | 2.53 |
2.5 | 66.57% | 1.50 |
3.5 | 84.97% | 1.18 |
4.5 | 94.36% | 1.06 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 87.00% | 1.15 |
1.5 | 60.48% | 1.65 |
2.5 | 33.43% | 2.99 |
3.5 | 15.03% | 6.66 |
4.5 | 5.64% | 17.74 |
Correct Score Based On XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 7.69 | 13.00% |
0-1 | 16.89 | 5.92% |
0-2 | 74.14 | 1.35% |
0-3 | 488.20 | 0.20% |
1-0 | 4.85 | 20.60% |
1-1 | 10.66 | 9.38% |
1-2 | 46.78 | 2.14% |
1-3 | 308.03 | 0.32% |
2-0 | 6.13 | 16.32% |
2-1 | 13.45 | 7.44% |
2-2 | 59.03 | 1.69% |
2-3 | 388.71 | 0.26% |
3-0 | 11.60 | 8.62% |
3-1 | 25.45 | 3.93% |
3-2 | 111.74 | 0.89% |
3-3 | 735.78 | 0.14% |
Any Other Home Win | 13.05 | 7.66% |
Any Other Away Win | 1,105.82 | 0.09% |
Any Other Draw | 15,837.19 | 0.01% |