B. Monchengladbach vs Koln

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Mönchengladbach is likely to win this match with a probability of 59.96%. A win for Köln has a probability of 20%, while a draw has a probability of 19.98%. The most likely scoreline for a Mönchengladbach win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 17.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.68% and 2-0 with a probability of 8.05%. The most probable Köln win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.3%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.8%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Mönchengladbach to win. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.85, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.52 (based on goal statistics) and 1.67 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Mönchengladbach a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by h2h, over/under, and correct score markets.