Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bochum is likely to win this match with a probability of 50.64%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 25.78%, while a draw has a probability of 23.55%. The most likely scoreline for a Bochum win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.64% and 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The most probable Union Berlin win is 1-2 with a probability of 6.52%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 2-2 with a probability of 6.89%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Bochum’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 2.6, much higher than the 1.97 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Bochum | Union Berlin | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.75 | 1.18 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 50.64% | 23.55% | 25.78% |
Imp Odds | 1.97 | 4.25 | 3.88 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 5.32% | 18.79 |
1.5 | 20.94% | 4.78 |
2.5 | 43.84% | 2.28 |
3.5 | 66.22% | 1.51 |
4.5 | 82.64% | 1.21 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 94.68% | 1.06 |
1.5 | 79.06% | 1.26 |
2.5 | 56.16% | 1.78 |
3.5 | 33.78% | 2.96 |
4.5 | 17.36% | 5.76 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 5.32% | 18.79 |
0-1 | 6.30% | 15.87 |
0-2 | 3.73% | 26.83 |
0-3 | 1.47% | 68.02 |
1-0 | 9.31% | 10.74 |
1-1 | 11.02% | 9.07 |
1-2 | 6.52% | 15.33 |
1-3 | 2.57% | 38.87 |
2-0 | 8.15% | 12.27 |
2-1 | 9.64% | 10.37 |
2-2 | 5.71% | 17.53 |
2-3 | 2.25% | 44.43 |
3-0 | 4.75% | 21.04 |
3-1 | 5.62% | 17.78 |
3-2 | 3.33% | 30.05 |
3-3 | 1.31% | 76.18 |
Any Other Home Win | 9.83% | 10.17 |
Any Other Away Win | 2.40% | 41.68 |
Any Other Draw | 0.18% | 541.20 |