Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Freiburg is likely to win this match with a probability of 76.57%. A win for Darmstadt has a probability of 9.85%, while a draw has a probability of 13.16%. The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 35.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 with a probability of 8.23% and 2-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The most probable Darmstadt win is 1-2 with a probability of 2.83%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 5.34%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Freiburg | Darmstadt | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 3.04 | 1.06 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 76.57% | 13.16% | 9.85% |
| Imp Odds | 1.31 | 7.60 | 10.15 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.66% | 60.10 |
| 1.5 | 8.48% | 11.79 |
| 2.5 | 22.44% | 4.46 |
| 3.5 | 41.49% | 2.41 |
| 4.5 | 61.01% | 1.64 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.34% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 91.52% | 1.09 |
| 2.5 | 77.56% | 1.29 |
| 3.5 | 58.51% | 1.71 |
| 4.5 | 38.99% | 2.56 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 60.10 | 1.66% |
| 0-1 | 56.94 | 1.76% |
| 0-2 | 107.90 | 0.93% |
| 0-3 | 306.70 | 0.33% |
| 1-0 | 19.77 | 5.06% |
| 1-1 | 18.73 | 5.34% |
| 1-2 | 35.49 | 2.82% |
| 1-3 | 100.87 | 0.99% |
| 2-0 | 13.00 | 7.69% |
| 2-1 | 12.32 | 8.12% |
| 2-2 | 23.34 | 4.28% |
| 2-3 | 66.35 | 1.51% |
| 3-0 | 12.83 | 7.80% |
| 3-1 | 12.15 | 8.23% |
| 3-2 | 23.03 | 4.34% |
| 3-3 | 65.46 | 1.53% |
| Any Other Home Win | 2.83 | 35.33% |
| Any Other Away Win | 70.45 | 1.42% |
| Any Other Draw | 286.16 | 0.35% |