Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Heidenheim is likely to win this match with a probability of 55.43%. A win for Darmstadt has a probability of 23.11%, while a draw has a probability of 21.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 14.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.71% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.81%. The most probable Darmstadt win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.96%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.59%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| FC Heidenheim | Darmstadt | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.02 | 1.24 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 55.43% | 21.41% | 23.11% |
| Imp Odds | 1.80 | 4.67 | 4.33 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.81% | 26.23 |
| 1.5 | 16.27% | 6.15 |
| 2.5 | 36.61% | 2.73 |
| 3.5 | 58.77% | 1.70 |
| 4.5 | 76.86% | 1.30 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.19% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 83.73% | 1.19 |
| 2.5 | 63.39% | 1.58 |
| 3.5 | 41.23% | 2.43 |
| 4.5 | 23.14% | 4.32 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 26.23 | 3.81% |
| 0-1 | 21.10 | 4.74% |
| 0-2 | 33.96 | 2.94% |
| 0-3 | 81.96 | 1.22% |
| 1-0 | 12.96 | 7.72% |
| 1-1 | 10.43 | 9.59% |
| 1-2 | 16.78 | 5.96% |
| 1-3 | 40.50 | 2.47% |
| 2-0 | 12.81 | 7.81% |
| 2-1 | 10.30 | 9.71% |
| 2-2 | 16.58 | 6.03% |
| 2-3 | 40.02 | 2.50% |
| 3-0 | 18.98 | 5.27% |
| 3-1 | 15.27 | 6.55% |
| 3-2 | 24.57 | 4.07% |
| 3-3 | 59.32 | 1.69% |
| Any Other Home Win | 6.99 | 14.31% |
| Any Other Away Win | 35.72 | 2.80% |
| Any Other Draw | 340.50 | 0.29% |