Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Union Berlin is likely to win this match with a probability of 57.23%. A win for Heidenheim has a probability of 21.94%, while a draw has a probability of 20.78%. The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 15.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.69% and 2-0 with a probability of 7.81%. The most probable Heidenheim win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.7%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.19%.
This match offers an enticing opportunity for betting on both teams to score for 1.85. The projected home team goals (Union Berlin) are 1.27 based on goal statistics, and 2.11 based on expected goals, or XG. The projected away goals (Heidenheim) are 1.17 based on goal statistics, and 1.51 based on expected goals or XG.
Full-time Result Based On Goals
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Union Berlin | FC Heidenheim | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.27 | 1.17 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 38.64% | 27.39% | 33.95% |
Imp Odds | 2.59 | 3.65 | 2.95 |
Goals Over/Under Based On Goals
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 8.76% | 11.42 |
1.5 | 30.09% | 3.32 |
2.5 | 56.06% | 1.78 |
3.5 | 77.13% | 1.30 |
4.5 | 89.97% | 1.11 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 91.24% | 1.10 |
1.5 | 69.91% | 1.43 |
2.5 | 43.94% | 2.28 |
3.5 | 22.87% | 4.37 |
4.5 | 10.03% | 9.97 |
Correct Score Based On Goals
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 8.76% | 11.42 |
0-1 | 10.24% | 9.76 |
0-2 | 5.99% | 16.70 |
0-3 | 2.33% | 42.86 |
1-0 | 11.09% | 9.02 |
1-1 | 12.96% | 7.71 |
1-2 | 7.58% | 13.19 |
1-3 | 2.95% | 33.85 |
2-0 | 7.02% | 14.25 |
2-1 | 8.21% | 12.19 |
2-2 | 4.80% | 20.85 |
2-3 | 1.87% | 53.49 |
3-0 | 2.96% | 33.77 |
3-1 | 3.46% | 28.88 |
3-2 | 2.02% | 49.40 |
3-3 | 0.79% | 126.75 |
Any Other Home Win | 3.88% | 25.80 |
Any Other Away Win | 2.14% | 46.83 |
Any Other Draw | 0.08% | 1,290.54 |
Projected Goals
Projected Home Goals | 1.265919345 |
Projected Away Goals | 1.169222838 |
Projected Total Goals | 2.435142183 |
Full-time Result Based On XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Union Berlin | FC Heidenheim | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
2.11 | 1.24 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 57.23% | 20.78% | 21.94% |
Imp Odds | 1.75 | 4.81 | 4.56 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.52% | 28.43 |
1.5 | 15.29% | 6.54 |
2.5 | 35.00% | 2.86 |
3.5 | 56.99% | 1.75 |
4.5 | 75.39% | 1.33 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.48% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 84.71% | 1.18 |
2.5 | 65.00% | 1.54 |
3.5 | 43.01% | 2.32 |
4.5 | 24.61% | 4.06 |
Correct Score Based On XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 28.43 | 3.52% |
0-1 | 22.92 | 4.36% |
0-2 | 36.96 | 2.71% |
0-3 | 89.38 | 1.12% |
1-0 | 13.49 | 7.41% |
1-1 | 10.88 | 9.19% |
1-2 | 17.54 | 5.70% |
1-3 | 42.42 | 2.36% |
2-0 | 12.81 | 7.81% |
2-1 | 10.33 | 9.69% |
2-2 | 16.65 | 6.01% |
2-3 | 40.27 | 2.48% |
3-0 | 18.23 | 5.48% |
3-1 | 14.70 | 6.80% |
3-2 | 23.70 | 4.22% |
3-3 | 57.33 | 1.74% |
Any Other Home Win | 6.32 | 15.82% |
Any Other Away Win | 36.09 | 2.77% |
Any Other Draw | 315.47 | 0.32% |
Projected Goals
Projected Home Goals | 2.107035925 |
Projected Away Goals | 1.24037719 |
Projected Total Goals | 3.347413115 |
Find your next winning bet: Our expert predictions for upcoming Bundesliga matches.