Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Stuttgart is likely to win this match with a probability of 65.7%. A win for Union Berlin has a probability of 14.74%, while a draw has a probability of 18.83%. The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win is “Any Other Away Win,” with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.29% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The most probable Union Berlin win is 2-1 with a probability of 4.18%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.77%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Stuttgart’s win, with bookmakers offering average odds of 2.71, much higher than the 1.52 calculated by our model.
Below are tables with match analyses by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.95 | 2.24 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 14.74% | 18.83% | 65.70% |
| Imp Odds | 6.79 | 5.31 | 1.52 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.10% | 24.38 |
| 1.5 | 17.20% | 5.81 |
| 2.5 | 38.12% | 2.62 |
| 3.5 | 60.39% | 1.66 |
| 4.5 | 78.17% | 1.28 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.90% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 82.80% | 1.21 |
| 2.5 | 61.88% | 1.62 |
| 3.5 | 39.61% | 2.52 |
| 4.5 | 21.83% | 4.58 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 24.38 | 4.10% |
| 0-1 | 10.89 | 9.19% |
| 0-2 | 9.72 | 10.29% |
| 0-3 | 13.02 | 7.68% |
| 1-0 | 25.55 | 3.91% |
| 1-1 | 11.41 | 8.77% |
| 1-2 | 10.19 | 9.82% |
| 1-3 | 13.65 | 7.33% |
| 2-0 | 53.54 | 1.87% |
| 2-1 | 23.91 | 4.18% |
| 2-2 | 21.35 | 4.68% |
| 2-3 | 28.60 | 3.50% |
| 3-0 | 168.33 | 0.59% |
| 3-1 | 75.16 | 1.33% |
| 3-2 | 67.13 | 1.49% |
| 3-3 | 89.92 | 1.11% |
| Any Other Home Win | 73.55 | 1.36% |
| Any Other Away Win | 8.80 | 11.36% |
| Any Other Draw | 617.23 | 0.16% |
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Union Berlin | VfB Stuttgart | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.33 | 2.63 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 17.61% | 17.28% | 64.15% |
| Imp Odds | 5.68 | 5.79 | 1.56 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.91% | 52.43 |
| 1.5 | 9.46% | 10.57 |
| 2.5 | 24.41% | 4.10 |
| 3.5 | 44.14% | 2.27 |
| 4.5 | 63.68% | 1.57 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.09% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 90.54% | 1.10 |
| 2.5 | 75.59% | 1.32 |
| 3.5 | 55.86% | 1.79 |
| 4.5 | 36.32% | 2.75 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 1.91% | 52.43 |
| 0-1 | 5.01% | 19.96 |
| 0-2 | 6.58% | 15.20 |
| 0-3 | 5.76% | 17.37 |
| 1-0 | 2.54% | 39.32 |
| 1-1 | 6.68% | 14.97 |
| 1-2 | 8.77% | 11.40 |
| 1-3 | 7.68% | 13.03 |
| 2-0 | 1.70% | 58.98 |
| 2-1 | 4.45% | 22.46 |
| 2-2 | 5.85% | 17.11 |
| 2-3 | 5.12% | 19.54 |
| 3-0 | 0.75% | 132.71 |
| 3-1 | 1.98% | 50.54 |
| 3-2 | 2.60% | 38.49 |
| 3-3 | 2.27% | 43.97 |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.58% | 27.90 |
| Any Other Away Win | 18.98% | 5.27 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.57% | 173.98 |