Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bayer Leverkusen is likely to win this match with a probability of 60.7%. A win for Werder Bremen has a probability of 18.84%, while a draw has a probability of 19.89%. The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 9.79% and 0-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The most probable Werder Bremen win is 2-1 with a probability of 5.09%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.93%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Werder Bremen | Bayer Leverkusen | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.14 | 2.19 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 18.84% | 19.89% | 60.70% |
| Imp Odds | 5.31 | 5.03 | 1.65 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.58% | 27.94 |
| 1.5 | 15.50% | 6.45 |
| 2.5 | 35.34% | 2.83 |
| 3.5 | 57.37% | 1.74 |
| 4.5 | 75.71% | 1.32 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.42% | 1.04 |
| 1.5 | 84.50% | 1.18 |
| 2.5 | 64.66% | 1.55 |
| 3.5 | 42.63% | 2.35 |
| 4.5 | 24.29% | 4.12 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 27.94 | 3.58% |
| 0-1 | 12.75 | 7.84% |
| 0-2 | 11.64 | 8.59% |
| 0-3 | 15.93 | 6.28% |
| 1-0 | 24.53 | 4.08% |
| 1-1 | 11.20 | 8.93% |
| 1-2 | 10.22 | 9.79% |
| 1-3 | 13.99 | 7.15% |
| 2-0 | 43.09 | 2.32% |
| 2-1 | 19.66 | 5.09% |
| 2-2 | 17.95 | 5.57% |
| 2-3 | 24.57 | 4.07% |
| 3-0 | 113.51 | 0.88% |
| 3-1 | 51.80 | 1.93% |
| 3-2 | 47.28 | 2.11% |
| 3-3 | 64.73 | 1.54% |
| Any Other Home Win | 41.17 | 2.43% |
| Any Other Away Win | 8.48 | 11.79% |
| Any Other Draw | 374.92 | 0.27% |