Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Granada win, with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Betis has a chance of 30.03%, and a draw has a probability of 22.81%. The most likely scoreline for a Granada win is “Any Other Home Win,” with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.22% and 1-0 with a probability of 7.17%. The most probable Betis win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.18%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 (10.15%).
This match is interesting for betting on the home team (Granada), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 2.12 compared to around 3.15.
Check out free La Liga predictions on other matches.
Match Result Market By XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Granada | Real Betis | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.82 | 1.41 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 47.10% | 22.81% | 30.03% |
Imp Odds | 2.12 | 4.38 | 3.33 |
Over and Under Market By XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.94% | 25.35 |
1.5 | 16.70% | 5.99 |
2.5 | 37.31% | 2.68 |
3.5 | 59.52% | 1.68 |
4.5 | 77.47% | 1.29 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.06% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 83.30% | 1.20 |
2.5 | 62.69% | 1.60 |
3.5 | 40.48% | 2.47 |
4.5 | 22.53% | 4.44 |
Correct Score Market By XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 25.35 | 3.94% |
0-1 | 17.92 | 5.58% |
0-2 | 25.33 | 3.95% |
0-3 | 53.71 | 1.86% |
1-0 | 13.95 | 7.17% |
1-1 | 9.86 | 10.15% |
1-2 | 13.93 | 7.18% |
1-3 | 29.54 | 3.39% |
2-0 | 15.34 | 6.52% |
2-1 | 10.84 | 9.22% |
2-2 | 15.33 | 6.52% |
2-3 | 32.50 | 3.08% |
3-0 | 25.32 | 3.95% |
3-1 | 17.89 | 5.59% |
3-2 | 25.29 | 3.95% |
3-3 | 53.63 | 1.86% |
Any Other Home Win | 9.35 | 10.70% |
Any Other Away Win | 24.15 | 4.14% |
Any Other Draw | 300.34 | 0.33% |