Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Granada win, with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Osasuna has a probability of 33.39%, and a draw has a probability of 25.74%. The most likely scoreline for a Granada win is 0-1, with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scoreline for that outcome is 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The most probable Osasuna win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.27%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.06%.
This match presents an intriguing betting opportunity on the away team (Granada), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers stand at 4.75, significantly higher than the approximate 2.44 calculated by our model.
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Osasuna | Granada | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.29 | 1.46 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 33.39% | 25.47% | 41.05% |
| Imp Odds | 2.99 | 3.93 | 2.44 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.43% | 15.56 |
| 1.5 | 24.06% | 4.16 |
| 2.5 | 48.27% | 2.07 |
| 3.5 | 70.42% | 1.42 |
| 4.5 | 85.62% | 1.17 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.57% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 75.94% | 1.32 |
| 2.5 | 51.73% | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 29.58% | 3.38 |
| 4.5 | 14.38% | 6.95 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 15.56 | 6.43% |
| 0-1 | 10.68 | 9.36% |
| 0-2 | 14.66 | 6.82% |
| 0-3 | 30.18 | 3.31% |
| 1-0 | 12.09 | 8.27% |
| 1-1 | 8.29 | 12.06% |
| 1-2 | 11.38 | 8.78% |
| 1-3 | 23.44 | 4.27% |
| 2-0 | 18.77 | 5.33% |
| 2-1 | 12.88 | 7.76% |
| 2-2 | 17.68 | 5.66% |
| 2-3 | 36.40 | 2.75% |
| 3-0 | 43.73 | 2.29% |
| 3-1 | 30.01 | 3.33% |
| 3-2 | 41.19 | 2.43% |
| 3-3 | 84.80 | 1.18% |
| Any Other Home Win | 25.11 | 3.98% |
| Any Other Away Win | 23.96 | 4.17% |
| Any Other Draw | 670.12 | 0.15% |