Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 75.82%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 9.17% and a draw has a probability of 14.87%. The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 25.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.35% and 3-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-2 with a probability of 2.77%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.94%).
By XG
By XG