Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that PSG is likely to win this match with a probability of 69.91%. A win for Le Havre has a probability of 13.5%, while a draw has a probability of 15.11%. The most likely scoreline for a PSG win is “Any Other Away Win“, with a probability of 22.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8.35% and 1-3 with a probability of 8.03%. The most probable Le Havre win is 2-1 with a probability of 3.56%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 5.79%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
Goals
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Le Havre | Paris Saint Germain | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.23 | 2.89 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 13.50% | 15.11% | 69.91% |
| Imp Odds | 7.41 | 6.62 | 1.43 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 1.63% | 61.37 |
| 1.5 | 8.34% | 11.99 |
| 2.5 | 22.15% | 4.52 |
| 3.5 | 41.10% | 2.43 |
| 4.5 | 60.60% | 1.65 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 98.37% | 1.02 |
| 1.5 | 91.66% | 1.09 |
| 2.5 | 77.85% | 1.28 |
| 3.5 | 58.90% | 1.70 |
| 4.5 | 39.40% | 2.54 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 61.37 | 1.63% |
| 0-1 | 21.27 | 4.70% |
| 0-2 | 14.74 | 6.78% |
| 0-3 | 15.32 | 6.53% |
| 1-0 | 49.84 | 2.01% |
| 1-1 | 17.27 | 5.79% |
| 1-2 | 11.97 | 8.35% |
| 1-3 | 12.45 | 8.03% |
| 2-0 | 80.97 | 1.24% |
| 2-1 | 28.06 | 3.56% |
| 2-2 | 19.45 | 5.14% |
| 2-3 | 20.22 | 4.95% |
| 3-0 | 197.28 | 0.51% |
| 3-1 | 68.36 | 1.46% |
| 3-2 | 47.38 | 2.11% |
| 3-3 | 49.26 | 2.03% |
| Any Other Home Win | 38.26 | 2.61% |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.49 | 22.28% |
| Any Other Draw | 191.69 | 0.52% |
Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Le Havre | Paris Saint Germain | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.58 | 1.81 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 11.33% | 21.68% | 66.55% |
| Imp Odds | 8.83 | 4.61 | 1.50 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.17% | 10.91 |
| 1.5 | 31.07% | 3.22 |
| 2.5 | 57.25% | 1.75 |
| 3.5 | 78.09% | 1.28 |
| 4.5 | 90.55% | 1.10 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.83% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 68.93% | 1.45 |
| 2.5 | 42.75% | 2.34 |
| 3.5 | 21.91% | 4.56 |
| 4.5 | 9.45% | 10.58 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 9.17% | 10.91 |
| 0-1 | 16.56% | 6.04 |
| 0-2 | 14.96% | 6.68 |
| 0-3 | 9.01% | 11.10 |
| 1-0 | 5.34% | 18.72 |
| 1-1 | 9.65% | 10.36 |
| 1-2 | 8.72% | 11.47 |
| 1-3 | 5.25% | 19.04 |
| 2-0 | 1.56% | 64.23 |
| 2-1 | 2.81% | 35.55 |
| 2-2 | 2.54% | 39.36 |
| 2-3 | 1.53% | 65.35 |
| 3-0 | 0.30% | 330.66 |
| 3-1 | 0.55% | 183.02 |
| 3-2 | 0.49% | 202.61 |
| 3-3 | 0.30% | 336.43 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.27% | 367.28 |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.82% | 20.74 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.02% | 4,900.11 |