Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Rennes is likely to win this match with a probability of **38.1%**. A win for Le Havre has a probability of **32.33%**, while a draw has a probability of **29.54%**. The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win is 0-1, with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 7.57% and 0-2 with a probability of 7.47%. The most probable Le Havre win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13.43%.

This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Le Havre not to lose, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 2.1 for Rennes win, which is lower than the 2.62 calculated by our model.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

## Full-time Result Based On XG

Home Team | Away Team | ||

Le Havre | Rennes | ||

Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||

1.01 | 1.13 | ||

Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |

%Chance | 32.33% | 29.54% | 38.10% |

Imp Odds | 3.09 | 3.39 | 2.62 |

## Goals Over/Under Based On XG

Under Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 11.75% | 8.51 |

1.5 | 36.91% | 2.71 |

2.5 | 63.84% | 1.57 |

3.5 | 83.07% | 1.20 |

4.5 | 93.37% | 1.07 |

Over Goal Market | ||

Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |

0.5 | 88.25% | 1.13 |

1.5 | 63.09% | 1.58 |

2.5 | 36.16% | 2.77 |

3.5 | 16.93% | 5.91 |

4.5 | 6.63% | 15.08 |

## Correct Score Based On XG

Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |

0-0 | 8.51 | 11.75% |

0-1 | 7.55 | 13.25% |

0-2 | 13.38 | 7.47% |

0-3 | 35.60 | 2.81% |

1-0 | 8.40 | 11.91% |

1-1 | 7.45 | 13.43% |

1-2 | 13.20 | 7.57% |

1-3 | 35.12 | 2.85% |

2-0 | 16.57 | 6.04% |

2-1 | 14.69 | 6.81% |

2-2 | 26.05 | 3.84% |

2-3 | 69.29 | 1.44% |

3-0 | 49.03 | 2.04% |

3-1 | 43.48 | 2.30% |

3-2 | 77.10 | 1.30% |

3-3 | 205.08 | 0.49% |

Any Other Home Win | 51.62 | 1.94% |

Any Other Away Win | 57.85 | 1.73% |

Any Other Draw | 2,740.66 | 0.04% |

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