Marseille vs Nantes

Marseille vs Nantes

Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Marseille is likely to win this match with a probability of 75.19%. A win for Nantes has a probability of 6.74%, while a draw has a probability of 18.05%. The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win is 2-0, with a probability of 17.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 17.69% and “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 14.34%. The most probable Nantes win is 0-1 with a probability of 3.73%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 8.82%.

This match presents a compelling opportunity to bet on Marseille to win the match. Bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.6, higher than our model’s predictions of 1.33 (based on goal statistics) and 1.31 (based on expected goals, or XG, which estimates the likelihood of scoring based on shot quality and location). This discrepancy suggests that bookmakers may be overvaluing the opponent, making Marseille a potentially valuable bet.

The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.

William Hill

Bet £10 and Get £30 in Free Bets


Get a €100 Bonus + €30 in Free Bets


Get 100% Up To €100 + €15 in Free Bets

Find your next winning bet: Our expert predictions for upcoming Ligue 1 matches.