Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Toulouse win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Metz has a probability of 25.53% and a draw has a probability of 29.54%. The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win is 1-0 with a probability of 15.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.46% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.97%. The likeliest Metz win is 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (13.07%).
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By XG
By Goals
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Toulouse | Metz | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.22 | 0.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.92% | 29.54% | 25.53% |
| Imp Odds | 2.23 | 3.38 | 3.92 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 12.71% | 7.87 |
| 1.5 | 38.92% | 2.57 |
| 2.5 | 65.96% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 84.56% | 1.18 |
| 4.5 | 94.15% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 87.29% | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | 61.08% | 1.64 |
| 2.5 | 34.04% | 2.94 |
| 3.5 | 15.44% | 6.48 |
| 4.5 | 5.85% | 17.09 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.87 | 12.71% |
| 0-1 | 9.34 | 10.71% |
| 0-2 | 22.16 | 4.51% |
| 0-3 | 78.86 | 1.27% |
| 1-0 | 6.45 | 15.50% |
| 1-1 | 7.65 | 13.07% |
| 1-2 | 18.16 | 5.51% |
| 1-3 | 64.63 | 1.55% |
| 2-0 | 10.57 | 9.46% |
| 2-1 | 12.54 | 7.97% |
| 2-2 | 29.76 | 3.36% |
| 2-3 | 105.93 | 0.94% |
| 3-0 | 25.99 | 3.85% |
| 3-1 | 30.84 | 3.24% |
| 3-2 | 73.18 | 1.37% |
| 3-3 | 260.45 | 0.38% |
| Any Other Home Win | 28.38 | 3.52% |
| Any Other Away Win | 137.13 | 0.73% |
| Any Other Draw | 3,887.39 | 0.03% |
By Goals
Match Result Market
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Toulouse | Metz | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.22 | 0.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 44.92% | 29.54% | 25.53% |
| Imp Odds | 2.23 | 3.38 | 3.92 |
Over and Under Market
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 6.33% | 15.81 |
| 1.5 | 23.79% | 4.20 |
| 2.5 | 47.89% | 2.09 |
| 3.5 | 70.07% | 1.43 |
| 4.5 | 85.38% | 1.17 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 93.67% | 1.07 |
| 1.5 | 76.21% | 1.31 |
| 2.5 | 52.11% | 1.92 |
| 3.5 | 29.93% | 3.34 |
| 4.5 | 14.62% | 6.84 |
Correct Score Market
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 6.33% | 15.81 |
| 0-1 | 7.62% | 13.13 |
| 0-2 | 4.59% | 21.80 |
| 0-3 | 1.84% | 54.29 |
| 1-0 | 9.84% | 10.16 |
| 1-1 | 11.86% | 8.43 |
| 1-2 | 7.14% | 14.01 |
| 1-3 | 2.87% | 34.89 |
| 2-0 | 7.66% | 13.06 |
| 2-1 | 9.22% | 10.84 |
| 2-2 | 5.56% | 18.00 |
| 2-3 | 2.23% | 44.83 |
| 3-0 | 3.97% | 25.17 |
| 3-1 | 4.79% | 20.90 |
| 3-2 | 2.88% | 34.70 |
| 3-3 | 1.16% | 86.43 |
| Any Other Home Win | 7.10% | 14.09 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.49% | 40.18 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.15% | 683.75 |