Aston Villa vs. Brighton

Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 61.13%. A win for Brighton has a probability of 19.08% and a draw has a probability of 19.73%. The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is “Any Other Home Win” with a probability of 18.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.72% and 2-0 with a probability of 8.31%. The likeliest Brighton win is 1-2 with a probability of 5.13%, while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.74%).

This match is interesting for betting on the home team (Aston Villa), as the average odds for a win offered by bookmakers are higher than what our model calculates, with odds at 1.64 compared to around 2.5.

Check out free Premier League predictions on other matches.