Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bournemouth is likely to win this match with a probability of 66.82%. A win for Luton has a probability of 15.64%, while a draw has a probability of 17.41%. The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 23.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.31% and 2-0 with a probability of 8.06%. The most probable Luton win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.27%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 7.4%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bournemouth | Luton | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.51 | 1.15 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 66.82% | 17.41% | 15.64% |
| Imp Odds | 1.50 | 5.74 | 6.39 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 2.55% | 39.23 |
| 1.5 | 11.90% | 8.40 |
| 2.5 | 29.06% | 3.44 |
| 3.5 | 50.05% | 2.00 |
| 4.5 | 69.31% | 1.44 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 97.45% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 88.10% | 1.14 |
| 2.5 | 70.94% | 1.41 |
| 3.5 | 49.95% | 2.00 |
| 4.5 | 30.69% | 3.26 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 39.23 | 2.55% |
| 0-1 | 33.97 | 2.94% |
| 0-2 | 58.83 | 1.70% |
| 0-3 | 152.83 | 0.65% |
| 1-0 | 15.60 | 6.41% |
| 1-1 | 13.51 | 7.40% |
| 1-2 | 23.40 | 4.27% |
| 1-3 | 60.77 | 1.65% |
| 2-0 | 12.41 | 8.06% |
| 2-1 | 10.74 | 9.31% |
| 2-2 | 18.61 | 5.37% |
| 2-3 | 48.34 | 2.07% |
| 3-0 | 14.80 | 6.75% |
| 3-1 | 12.82 | 7.80% |
| 3-2 | 22.20 | 4.50% |
| 3-3 | 57.67 | 1.73% |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.17 | 23.98% |
| Any Other Away Win | 47.22 | 2.12% |
| Any Other Draw | 282.12 | 0.35% |