Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arsenal win, with a probability of 52.26%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 21.14%, and a draw has a probability of 26.46%. The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1, with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.85% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The most probable Chelsea win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.27%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.21%.
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Chelsea | Arsenal | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.83 | 1.48 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 21.14% | 26.46% | 52.26% |
| Imp Odds | 4.73 | 3.78 | 1.91 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 9.95% | 10.05 |
| 1.5 | 32.91% | 3.04 |
| 2.5 | 59.40% | 1.68 |
| 3.5 | 79.78% | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 91.54% | 1.09 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 90.05% | 1.11 |
| 1.5 | 67.09% | 1.49 |
| 2.5 | 40.60% | 2.46 |
| 3.5 | 20.22% | 4.95 |
| 4.5 | 8.46% | 11.81 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 10.05 | 9.95% |
| 0-1 | 6.81 | 14.69% |
| 0-2 | 9.22 | 10.85% |
| 0-3 | 18.73 | 5.34% |
| 1-0 | 12.10 | 8.27% |
| 1-1 | 8.19 | 12.21% |
| 1-2 | 11.09 | 9.01% |
| 1-3 | 22.54 | 4.44% |
| 2-0 | 29.11 | 3.43% |
| 2-1 | 19.72 | 5.07% |
| 2-2 | 26.70 | 3.74% |
| 2-3 | 54.25 | 1.84% |
| 3-0 | 105.12 | 0.95% |
| 3-1 | 71.19 | 1.40% |
| 3-2 | 96.41 | 1.04% |
| 3-3 | 195.87 | 0.51% |
| Any Other Home Win | 102.61 | 0.97% |
| Any Other Away Win | 28.65 | 3.49% |
| Any Other Draw | 2,430.67 | 0.04% |