Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Aston Villa is likely to win this match with a probability of 37%. A win for Everton has a probability of 35.49%, while a draw has a probability of 27.47%. The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 0-1, with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 with a probability of 8% and 0-2 with a probability of 6.67%. The most probable Everton win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 13%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By Goals
By Goals
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Everton | Aston Villa | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.20 | 1.23 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 35.49% | 27.47% | 37.00% |
| Imp Odds | 2.82 | 3.64 | 2.70 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.82% | 11.34 |
| 1.5 | 30.23% | 3.31 |
| 2.5 | 56.23% | 1.78 |
| 3.5 | 77.28% | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 90.05% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.18% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.77% | 1.43 |
| 2.5 | 43.77% | 2.28 |
| 3.5 | 22.72% | 4.40 |
| 4.5 | 9.95% | 10.05 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 8.82% | 11.34 |
| 0-1 | 10.85% | 9.22 |
| 0-2 | 6.67% | 14.98 |
| 0-3 | 2.74% | 36.54 |
| 1-0 | 10.56% | 9.47 |
| 1-1 | 13.00% | 7.69 |
| 1-2 | 8.00% | 12.51 |
| 1-3 | 3.28% | 30.50 |
| 2-0 | 6.33% | 15.80 |
| 2-1 | 7.79% | 12.84 |
| 2-2 | 4.79% | 20.88 |
| 2-3 | 1.96% | 50.91 |
| 3-0 | 2.53% | 39.56 |
| 3-1 | 3.11% | 32.16 |
| 3-2 | 1.91% | 52.28 |
| 3-3 | 0.78% | 127.48 |
| Any Other Home Win | 3.26% | 30.68 |
| Any Other Away Win | 2.45% | 40.89 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.08% | 1,303.74 |