Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Arsenal is likely to win this match with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Fulham has a probability of 23.08%, while a draw has a probability of 26.16%. The most likely scoreline for a Arsenal win is 0-1, with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 10.04% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The most probable Fulham win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.22%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.28%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Fulham | Arsenal | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
0.92 | 1.50 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 23.08% | 26.16% | 50.62% |
Imp Odds | 4.33 | 3.82 | 1.98 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 8.98% | 11.14 |
1.5 | 30.62% | 3.27 |
2.5 | 56.70% | 1.76 |
3.5 | 77.65% | 1.29 |
4.5 | 90.28% | 1.11 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 91.02% | 1.10 |
1.5 | 69.38% | 1.44 |
2.5 | 43.30% | 2.31 |
3.5 | 22.35% | 4.47 |
4.5 | 9.72% | 10.29 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 11.14 | 8.98% |
0-1 | 7.45 | 13.42% |
0-2 | 9.96 | 10.04% |
0-3 | 19.99 | 5.00% |
1-0 | 12.17 | 8.22% |
1-1 | 8.14 | 12.28% |
1-2 | 10.89 | 9.18% |
1-3 | 21.84 | 4.58% |
2-0 | 26.60 | 3.76% |
2-1 | 17.79 | 5.62% |
2-2 | 23.79 | 4.20% |
2-3 | 47.73 | 2.09% |
3-0 | 87.20 | 1.15% |
3-1 | 58.31 | 1.71% |
3-2 | 78.00 | 1.28% |
3-3 | 156.48 | 0.64% |
Any Other Home Win | 74.52 | 1.34% |
Any Other Away Win | 26.12 | 3.83% |
Any Other Draw | 1,731.05 | 0.06% |