Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Fulham is likely to win this match with a probability of 66.9%. A win for Burnley has a probability of 12.79%, while a draw has a probability of 20.28%. The most likely scoreline for a Fulham win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 with a probability of 13.12% and 2-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The most probable Burnley win is 0-1 with a probability of 4.82%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 9.58%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Fulham | Burnley | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.99 | 0.73 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 66.90% | 20.28% | 12.79% |
Imp Odds | 1.49 | 4.93 | 7.82 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 6.60% | 15.15 |
1.5 | 24.55% | 4.07 |
2.5 | 48.93% | 2.04 |
3.5 | 71.02% | 1.41 |
4.5 | 86.03% | 1.16 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 93.40% | 1.07 |
1.5 | 75.45% | 1.33 |
2.5 | 51.07% | 1.96 |
3.5 | 28.98% | 3.45 |
4.5 | 13.97% | 7.16 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 15.15 | 6.60% |
0-1 | 20.74 | 4.82% |
0-2 | 56.78 | 1.76% |
0-3 | 233.18 | 0.43% |
1-0 | 7.62 | 13.12% |
1-1 | 10.43 | 9.58% |
1-2 | 28.57 | 3.50% |
1-3 | 117.34 | 0.85% |
2-0 | 7.67 | 13.04% |
2-1 | 10.50 | 9.52% |
2-2 | 28.75 | 3.48% |
2-3 | 118.08 | 0.85% |
3-0 | 11.58 | 8.64% |
3-1 | 15.85 | 6.31% |
3-2 | 43.40 | 2.30% |
3-3 | 178.25 | 0.56% |
Any Other Home Win | 7.16 | 13.97% |
Any Other Away Win | 204.06 | 0.49% |
Any Other Draw | 1,852.68 | 0.05% |