Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win, with a probability of 47%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 26.9%, and a draw has a probability of 26.09%. The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 1-0, with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.15% and 2-0 with a probability of 8.71%. The most probable Liverpool win is 0-1 with a probability of 8.38%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.39%.
By XG
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Manchester City | Liverpool | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.48 | 1.05 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 47.00% | 26.09% | 26.90% |
| Imp Odds | 2.13 | 3.83 | 3.72 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 7.97% | 12.54 |
| 1.5 | 28.14% | 3.55 |
| 2.5 | 53.64% | 1.86 |
| 3.5 | 75.13% | 1.33 |
| 4.5 | 88.72% | 1.13 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 92.03% | 1.09 |
| 1.5 | 71.86% | 1.39 |
| 2.5 | 46.36% | 2.16 |
| 3.5 | 24.87% | 4.02 |
| 4.5 | 11.28% | 8.87 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 12.54 | 7.97% |
| 0-1 | 11.93 | 8.38% |
| 0-2 | 22.71 | 4.40% |
| 0-3 | 64.82 | 1.54% |
| 1-0 | 8.49 | 11.78% |
| 1-1 | 8.07 | 12.39% |
| 1-2 | 15.36 | 6.51% |
| 1-3 | 43.85 | 2.28% |
| 2-0 | 11.48 | 8.71% |
| 2-1 | 10.92 | 9.15% |
| 2-2 | 20.79 | 4.81% |
| 2-3 | 59.33 | 1.69% |
| 3-0 | 23.30 | 4.29% |
| 3-1 | 22.17 | 4.51% |
| 3-2 | 42.19 | 2.37% |
| 3-3 | 120.42 | 0.83% |
| Any Other Home Win | 16.17 | 6.18% |
| Any Other Away Win | 62.46 | 1.60% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,164.65 | 0.09% |