Our analysis of all available data, including XG, recent performances, and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win, with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Chelsea has a probability of 29.82%, and a draw has a probability of 23.73%. The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1, with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are “Any Other Home Win“ with a probability of 9.01% and 1-0 with a probability of 8.28%. The most probable Chelsea win is 1-2 with a probability of 7.23%, while for a drawn scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.94%.
By XG
By Goals
By XG
Match Result Market By XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Newcastle United | Chelsea | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.70 | 1.32 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 46.40% | 23.73% | 29.82% |
| Imp Odds | 2.16 | 4.21 | 3.35 |
Over and Under Market By XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.87% | 20.53 |
| 1.5 | 19.59% | 5.10 |
| 2.5 | 41.83% | 2.39 |
| 3.5 | 64.23% | 1.56 |
| 4.5 | 81.16% | 1.23 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.13% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 80.41% | 1.24 |
| 2.5 | 58.17% | 1.72 |
| 3.5 | 35.77% | 2.80 |
| 4.5 | 18.84% | 5.31 |
Correct Score Market By XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 20.53 | 4.87% |
| 0-1 | 15.54 | 6.43% |
| 0-2 | 23.52 | 4.25% |
| 0-3 | 53.42 | 1.87% |
| 1-0 | 12.07 | 8.28% |
| 1-1 | 9.14 | 10.94% |
| 1-2 | 13.83 | 7.23% |
| 1-3 | 31.41 | 3.18% |
| 2-0 | 14.20 | 7.04% |
| 2-1 | 10.74 | 9.31% |
| 2-2 | 16.26 | 6.15% |
| 2-3 | 36.93 | 2.71% |
| 3-0 | 25.04 | 3.99% |
| 3-1 | 18.95 | 5.28% |
| 3-2 | 28.69 | 3.49% |
| 3-3 | 65.14 | 1.54% |
| Any Other Home Win | 11.10 | 9.01% |
| Any Other Away Win | 29.82 | 3.35% |
| Any Other Draw | 423.31 | 0.24% |
By Goals
Match Result Market By Goals
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Newcastle United | Chelsea | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.37 | 0.80 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 50.28% | 27.87% | 21.84% |
| Imp Odds | 1.99 | 3.59 | 4.58 |
Over and Under Market By Goals
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 11.51% | 8.69 |
| 1.5 | 36.40% | 2.75 |
| 2.5 | 63.30% | 1.58 |
| 3.5 | 82.68% | 1.21 |
| 4.5 | 93.16% | 1.07 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 88.49% | 1.13 |
| 1.5 | 63.60% | 1.57 |
| 2.5 | 36.70% | 2.72 |
| 3.5 | 17.32% | 5.78 |
| 4.5 | 6.84% | 14.62 |
Correct Score Market By Goals
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 11.51% | 8.69 |
| 0-1 | 9.17% | 10.91 |
| 0-2 | 3.65% | 27.40 |
| 0-3 | 0.97% | 103.27 |
| 1-0 | 15.72% | 6.36 |
| 1-1 | 12.52% | 7.99 |
| 1-2 | 4.98% | 20.07 |
| 1-3 | 1.32% | 75.63 |
| 2-0 | 10.73% | 9.32 |
| 2-1 | 8.55% | 11.70 |
| 2-2 | 3.40% | 29.40 |
| 2-3 | 0.90% | 110.77 |
| 3-0 | 4.89% | 20.47 |
| 3-1 | 3.89% | 25.71 |
| 3-2 | 1.55% | 64.58 |
| 3-3 | 0.41% | 243.37 |
| Any Other Home Win | 4.96% | 20.18 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.63% | 159.76 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.03% | 3,428.19 |