Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Luton is likely to win this match with a probability of 53.75%. A win for Sheffield United has a probability of 20.11%, while a draw has a probability of 26.14%. The most likely scoreline for a Luton win is 1-0, with a probability of 14.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 11.22% and 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The most probable Sheffield United win is 0-1 with a probability of 8%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 12.03%.
This match offers an excellent opportunity to bet on Luton’s, with bookmakers offering average odds of 3.15, much higher than the 2.5 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based on XG
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Sheffield United | Luton | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.64 | 1.71 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 37.08% | 22.84% | 39.95% |
Imp Odds | 2.70 | 4.38 | 2.50 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 3.53% | 28.36 |
1.5 | 15.32% | 6.53 |
2.5 | 35.05% | 2.85 |
3.5 | 57.05% | 1.75 |
4.5 | 75.44% | 1.33 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 96.47% | 1.04 |
1.5 | 84.68% | 1.18 |
2.5 | 64.95% | 1.54 |
3.5 | 42.95% | 2.33 |
4.5 | 24.56% | 4.07 |
Correct Score Based on XG
Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
0-0 | 28.36 | 3.53% |
0-1 | 16.60 | 6.02% |
0-2 | 19.43 | 5.15% |
0-3 | 34.13 | 2.93% |
1-0 | 17.33 | 5.77% |
1-1 | 10.14 | 9.86% |
1-2 | 11.88 | 8.42% |
1-3 | 20.86 | 4.79% |
2-0 | 21.17 | 4.72% |
2-1 | 12.39 | 8.07% |
2-2 | 14.51 | 6.89% |
2-3 | 25.49 | 3.92% |
3-0 | 38.81 | 2.58% |
3-1 | 22.72 | 4.40% |
3-2 | 26.60 | 3.76% |
3-3 | 46.72 | 2.14% |
Any Other Home Win | 12.86 | 7.78% |
Any Other Away Win | 14.29 | 7.00% |
Any Other Draw | 238.51 | 0.42% |
Full-time Result
Home Team | Away Team | ||
Sheffield United | Luton | ||
Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
1.17 | 1.53 | ||
Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
%Chance | 29.17% | 25.34% | 45.37% |
Imp Odds | 3.43 | 3.95 | 2.20 |
Goals Over/Under
Under Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 6.72% | 14.88 |
1.5 | 24.86% | 4.02 |
2.5 | 49.36% | 2.03 |
3.5 | 71.40% | 1.40 |
4.5 | 86.29% | 1.16 |
Over Goal Market | ||
Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
0.5 | 93.28% | 1.07 |
1.5 | 75.14% | 1.33 |
2.5 | 50.64% | 1.97 |
3.5 | 28.60% | 3.50 |
4.5 | 13.71% | 7.29 |
Correct Score
Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
0-0 | 6.72% | 14.88 |
0-1 | 10.27% | 9.74 |
0-2 | 7.84% | 12.75 |
0-3 | 4.00% | 25.03 |
1-0 | 7.88% | 12.70 |
1-1 | 12.03% | 8.31 |
1-2 | 9.19% | 10.88 |
1-3 | 4.68% | 21.35 |
2-0 | 4.62% | 21.66 |
2-1 | 7.05% | 14.18 |
2-2 | 5.39% | 18.56 |
2-3 | 2.74% | 36.43 |
3-0 | 1.80% | 55.45 |
3-1 | 2.76% | 36.29 |
3-2 | 2.11% | 47.49 |
3-3 | 1.07% | 93.24 |
Any Other Home Win | 2.96% | 33.79 |
Any Other Away Win | 4.61% | 21.69 |
Any Other Draw | 0.13% | 774.55 |