Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Atalanta will likely win this match with a probability of 62.14%. A win for Frosinone has a probability of 18.32%, while a draw has a probability of 19.47%. The most likely scoreline for a Atalanta win is “Any Other Home Win“, with a probability of 18.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 with a probability of 9.72% and 2-0 with a probability of 8.49%. The most probable Frosinone win is 1-2 with a probability of 4.96%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 8.66%.
This match offers an opportunity to place a bet on Atalanta to win and on the total goals being over 2.5.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Atalanta | Frosinone | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.25 | 1.15 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 62.14% | 19.47% | 18.32% |
| Imp Odds | 1.61 | 5.14 | 5.46 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.37% | 29.71 |
| 1.5 | 14.78% | 6.77 |
| 2.5 | 34.14% | 2.93 |
| 3.5 | 56.02% | 1.79 |
| 4.5 | 74.58% | 1.34 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.63% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 85.22% | 1.17 |
| 2.5 | 65.86% | 1.52 |
| 3.5 | 43.98% | 2.27 |
| 4.5 | 25.42% | 3.93 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 29.71 | 3.37% |
| 0-1 | 25.94 | 3.86% |
| 0-2 | 45.29 | 2.21% |
| 0-3 | 118.63 | 0.84% |
| 1-0 | 13.23 | 7.56% |
| 1-1 | 11.55 | 8.66% |
| 1-2 | 20.16 | 4.96% |
| 1-3 | 52.81 | 1.89% |
| 2-0 | 11.78 | 8.49% |
| 2-1 | 10.28 | 9.72% |
| 2-2 | 17.96 | 5.57% |
| 2-3 | 47.03 | 2.13% |
| 3-0 | 15.73 | 6.36% |
| 3-1 | 13.73 | 7.28% |
| 3-2 | 23.98 | 4.17% |
| 3-3 | 62.81 | 1.59% |
| Any Other Home Win | 5.39 | 18.56% |
| Any Other Away Win | 46.80 | 2.14% |
| Any Other Draw | 351.70 | 0.28% |
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Atalanta | Frosinone | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 2.83 | 0.64 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 82.10% | 11.86% | 5.77% |
| Imp Odds | 1.22 | 8.43 | 17.32 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 3.12% | 32.04 |
| 1.5 | 13.94% | 7.17 |
| 2.5 | 32.70% | 3.06 |
| 3.5 | 54.38% | 1.84 |
| 4.5 | 73.16% | 1.37 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 96.88% | 1.03 |
| 1.5 | 86.06% | 1.16 |
| 2.5 | 67.30% | 1.49 |
| 3.5 | 45.62% | 2.19 |
| 4.5 | 26.84% | 3.73 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 3.12% | 32.04 |
| 0-1 | 1.99% | 50.24 |
| 0-2 | 0.63% | 157.52 |
| 0-3 | 0.13% | 740.86 |
| 1-0 | 8.83% | 11.33 |
| 1-1 | 5.63% | 17.76 |
| 1-2 | 1.80% | 55.68 |
| 1-3 | 0.38% | 261.86 |
| 2-0 | 12.49% | 8.01 |
| 2-1 | 7.97% | 12.55 |
| 2-2 | 2.54% | 39.36 |
| 2-3 | 0.54% | 185.11 |
| 3-0 | 11.78% | 8.49 |
| 3-1 | 7.51% | 13.31 |
| 3-2 | 2.40% | 41.73 |
| 3-3 | 0.51% | 196.28 |
| Any Other Home Win | 31.13% | 3.21 |
| Any Other Away Win | 0.27% | 371.06 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.06% | 1,617.41 |