Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Bologna will likely win this match with a probability of 43.75%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 26.1%, while a draw has a probability of 30.14%. The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 9.25% and 2-1 with a probability of 7.72%. The most probable Genoa win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.15%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 13.4%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Bologna | Genoa | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.17 | 0.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 43.75% | 30.14% | 26.10% |
| Imp Odds | 2.29 | 3.32 | 3.83 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 13.40% | 7.46 |
| 1.5 | 40.33% | 2.48 |
| 2.5 | 67.40% | 1.48 |
| 3.5 | 85.53% | 1.17 |
| 4.5 | 94.64% | 1.06 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 86.60% | 1.15 |
| 1.5 | 59.67% | 1.68 |
| 2.5 | 32.60% | 3.07 |
| 3.5 | 14.47% | 6.91 |
| 4.5 | 5.36% | 18.67 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.46 | 13.40% |
| 0-1 | 8.94 | 11.19% |
| 0-2 | 21.40 | 4.67% |
| 0-3 | 76.85 | 1.30% |
| 1-0 | 6.35 | 15.74% |
| 1-1 | 7.61 | 13.15% |
| 1-2 | 18.21 | 5.49% |
| 1-3 | 65.42 | 1.53% |
| 2-0 | 10.82 | 9.25% |
| 2-1 | 12.95 | 7.72% |
| 2-2 | 31.01 | 3.23% |
| 2-3 | 111.37 | 0.90% |
| 3-0 | 27.62 | 3.62% |
| 3-1 | 33.07 | 3.02% |
| 3-2 | 79.18 | 1.26% |
| 3-3 | 284.40 | 0.35% |
| Any Other Home Win | 31.90 | 3.14% |
| Any Other Away Win | 143.55 | 0.70% |
| Any Other Draw | 4,457.52 | 0.02% |