Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Juventus is likely to win this match with a probability of 50.92%. A win for Genoa has a probability of 19.64%, while a draw has a probability of 29.35%. The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 0-1, with a probability of 18.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 11.6% and 1-2 with a probability of 7.81%. The most probable Genoa win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.58%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 14.23%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
By XG
By XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Genoa | Juventus | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.67 | 1.28 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 19.64% | 29.35% | 50.92% |
| Imp Odds | 5.09 | 3.41 | 1.96 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 14.23% | 7.03 |
| 1.5 | 41.97% | 2.38 |
| 2.5 | 69.02% | 1.45 |
| 3.5 | 86.60% | 1.15 |
| 4.5 | 95.17% | 1.05 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 85.77% | 1.17 |
| 1.5 | 58.03% | 1.72 |
| 2.5 | 30.98% | 3.23 |
| 3.5 | 13.40% | 7.46 |
| 4.5 | 4.83% | 20.72 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 7.03 | 14.23% |
| 0-1 | 5.51 | 18.16% |
| 0-2 | 8.62 | 11.60% |
| 0-3 | 20.26 | 4.94% |
| 1-0 | 10.44 | 9.58% |
| 1-1 | 8.18 | 12.23% |
| 1-2 | 12.81 | 7.81% |
| 1-3 | 30.10 | 3.32% |
| 2-0 | 31.01 | 3.22% |
| 2-1 | 24.29 | 4.12% |
| 2-2 | 38.05 | 2.63% |
| 2-3 | 89.40 | 1.12% |
| 3-0 | 138.19 | 0.72% |
| 3-1 | 108.23 | 0.92% |
| 3-2 | 169.54 | 0.59% |
| 3-3 | 398.36 | 0.25% |
| Any Other Home Win | 206.47 | 0.48% |
| Any Other Away Win | 50.42 | 1.98% |
| Any Other Draw | 7,162.24 | 0.01% |