Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Juventus is likely to win this match with a probability of 38.6%. A win for Napoli has a probability of 29.18%, while a draw has a probability of 32.21%. The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 1-0, with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 with a probability of 8.05% and 2-1 with a probability of 6.73%. The most probable Napoli win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 0-0 with a probability of 15.79%.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
XG
XG
Full-time Result Based on XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Juventus | Napoli | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 1.01 | 0.84 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 38.60% | 32.21% | 29.18% |
| Imp Odds | 2.59 | 3.10 | 3.43 |
Goals Over/Under Based on XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 15.79% | 6.33 |
| 1.5 | 44.94% | 2.23 |
| 2.5 | 71.83% | 1.39 |
| 3.5 | 88.38% | 1.13 |
| 4.5 | 96.02% | 1.04 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 84.21% | 1.19 |
| 1.5 | 55.06% | 1.82 |
| 2.5 | 28.17% | 3.55 |
| 3.5 | 11.62% | 8.61 |
| 4.5 | 3.98% | 25.12 |
Correct Score Based on XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 6.33 | 15.79% |
| 0-1 | 7.58 | 13.20% |
| 0-2 | 18.13 | 5.51% |
| 0-3 | 65.10 | 1.54% |
| 1-0 | 6.27 | 15.95% |
| 1-1 | 7.50 | 13.33% |
| 1-2 | 17.95 | 5.57% |
| 1-3 | 64.45 | 1.55% |
| 2-0 | 12.42 | 8.05% |
| 2-1 | 14.86 | 6.73% |
| 2-2 | 35.55 | 2.81% |
| 2-3 | 127.62 | 0.78% |
| 3-0 | 36.87 | 2.71% |
| 3-1 | 44.12 | 2.27% |
| 3-2 | 105.59 | 0.95% |
| 3-3 | 379.04 | 0.26% |
| Any Other Home Win | 51.45 | 1.94% |
| Any Other Away Win | 153.64 | 0.65% |
| Any Other Draw | 6,944.44 | 0.01% |