Based on XG, scored goals, recent performances, and player stats, our analysis suggests that Juventus will likely win this match with a probability of 63.09%. A win for Lecce has a probability of 13.76%, while a draw has a probability of 22.8%. The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win is 0-1, with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 with a probability of 13.64% and 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The most probable Lecce win is 1-0 with a probability of 5.95%, while for a draw scoreline, it is 1-1 with a probability of 10.42%.
This match presents an excellent opportunity to consider betting on Juventus to win the match, as bookmakers are offering average odds of 1.83 for Juventus’s win, which is higher than the 1.59 calculated by our model.
The following tables display match analyses categorized by match result, over/under, and correct score markets.
Full-time Result
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lecce | Juventus | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.67 | 1.75 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 13.76% | 22.80% | 63.09% |
| Imp Odds | 7.27 | 4.39 | 1.59 |
Goals Over/Under
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 8.91% | 11.22 |
| 1.5 | 30.46% | 3.28 |
| 2.5 | 56.51% | 1.77 |
| 3.5 | 77.50% | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 90.19% | 1.11 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 91.09% | 1.10 |
| 1.5 | 69.54% | 1.44 |
| 2.5 | 43.49% | 2.30 |
| 3.5 | 22.50% | 4.44 |
| 4.5 | 9.81% | 10.19 |
Correct Score
| Correct Score | %Chance | Imp. Odds |
| 0-0 | 8.91% | 11.22 |
| 0-1 | 15.59% | 6.41 |
| 0-2 | 13.64% | 7.33 |
| 0-3 | 7.96% | 12.57 |
| 1-0 | 5.95% | 16.80 |
| 1-1 | 10.42% | 9.60 |
| 1-2 | 9.11% | 10.97 |
| 1-3 | 5.32% | 18.81 |
| 2-0 | 1.99% | 50.30 |
| 2-1 | 3.48% | 28.75 |
| 2-2 | 3.04% | 32.86 |
| 2-3 | 1.78% | 56.33 |
| 3-0 | 0.44% | 225.92 |
| 3-1 | 0.77% | 129.11 |
| 3-2 | 0.68% | 147.56 |
| 3-3 | 0.40% | 252.98 |
| Any Other Home Win | 0.44% | 225.08 |
| Any Other Away Win | 4.87% | 20.53 |
| Any Other Draw | 0.03% | 3,303.45 |
Full-time Result Based On XG
| Home Team | Away Team | ||
| Lecce | Juventus | ||
| Projected Home Goals | Projected Away Goals | ||
| 0.80 | 2.34 | ||
| Home Win | Draw | Away Win | |
| %Chance | 11.00% | 17.10% | 70.90% |
| Imp Odds | 9.09 | 5.85 | 1.41 |
Goals Over/Under Based On XG
| Under Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 4.36% | 22.96 |
| 1.5 | 18.01% | 5.55 |
| 2.5 | 39.39% | 2.54 |
| 3.5 | 61.73% | 1.62 |
| 4.5 | 79.23% | 1.26 |
| Over Goal Market | ||
| Goals | %Chance | Imp Odds |
| 0.5 | 95.64% | 1.05 |
| 1.5 | 81.99% | 1.22 |
| 2.5 | 60.61% | 1.65 |
| 3.5 | 38.27% | 2.61 |
| 4.5 | 20.77% | 4.82 |
Correct Score Based On XG
| Correct Score | Imp. Odds | %Chance |
| 0-0 | 22.96 | 4.36% |
| 0-1 | 9.82 | 10.19% |
| 0-2 | 8.40 | 11.91% |
| 0-3 | 10.77 | 9.28% |
| 1-0 | 28.87 | 3.46% |
| 1-1 | 12.35 | 8.10% |
| 1-2 | 10.56 | 9.47% |
| 1-3 | 13.55 | 7.38% |
| 2-0 | 72.61 | 1.38% |
| 2-1 | 31.05 | 3.22% |
| 2-2 | 26.56 | 3.77% |
| 2-3 | 34.07 | 2.94% |
| 3-0 | 273.92 | 0.37% |
| 3-1 | 117.14 | 0.85% |
| 3-2 | 100.19 | 1.00% |
| 3-3 | 128.54 | 0.78% |
| Any Other Home Win | 138.55 | 0.72% |
| Any Other Away Win | 8.86 | 11.28% |
| Any Other Draw | 1,025.61 | 0.10% |